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Your Page for The Berg Timer Indicator
Helping you in your weather, market, flight delay forecasting needs

See the Berg Timer U.S. Precipitation Maps Here
 
The Berg Timer values are listed and charted below for the next several months.

Berg Timer Profile Days --- How to get the future weather for your desired location

Peaks in a state's precipitation profile indicate a higher probability for precipitation in the state.  Profile lows indicate low probability.
Peaks in a state's temperature profile indicate a higher probability for temperature above normal in the state.  Bottoms indicate temperature lower than normal.

Let's say you want to know if it'll rain in New York State on September 20.  You would go to the Table of Profile Numbers (below) and find the numbers for September 20.  Let's say they are -11, -6, -1, 6, 9.  Then you would consult the New York State profile, shown below, to see if it peaks on any of the Table Number days.  Yes, the NY profile peaks on '9'.  So there's a pretty good chance that it will rain in New York on September 20.  That's it.

If you refer to a certain profile often you can write down the profile's numbers to keep handy.  They never change.  Then you would only have to check the Table to find when your profile numbers show up in the future.


State Profiles

The profiles for the 50 states are available below.  California has been divided into north/south, Texas into east/west, and Florida into north/south.  Key West and the United States are also available there at the end.

Most weather fronts move from northwest to southeast in the United States, starting in the extreme northwest, through the Rockies to the central states, sometimes moving all the way to the east coast taking several days.  Fronts can also move up from the Gulf in the summer months causing extreme rain storms and some tornadoes.

In the winter we see fronts starting down from Canada moving the cold air as far down as north Florida.  
Geography of course also plays a role in U.S. climate.  The southwest states are generally dry so their profiles for precipitation mean 'best chance' for precipitation.

It takes several days for fronts to move from the northwest to the southeast, if they do reach the southeast.  If you scroll down to the Nebraska and Missouri profiles you'll notice that the precipitation profile for Nebraska peaks and bottoms a day or two ahead of Missouri.  That demonstrates the movement of fronts across the U.S. and is a proof for the Berg Timer profiles' accuracy and validity.  I've always tried my best to find the most accurate and complete data for my work.  Accuracy is always most important.  For these state profiles I used frontierweather.com which has the most accurate and complete data I could find for the U.S. states.

You can test the reliability of a profile for yourself by looking at the U.S. weather map at the bottom of weather.com's home page to see where it's raining.  Then note the numbers for today in the table, then click on that state's profile below to see if any of the profile's peaks match the date's numbers in the table.  You'll find it's quite reliable.  International locations will be added.  

The Berg Timer Values & BT Profile Numbers for Weather and Travel Forecasting

BT for the next couple months are published here.  I hope this helps because I know some or you have your own unique uses for it.  The owners of the WEF trading system use it for determining its trading signals.  
Days in red are when BT >= 7 strength.  If planning airline travel be sure to get the BT Profile Numbers from the table below (they're the ones in black) for your expected travel dates and then consult the Airline Travel Delays profile chart just below the Table to see if your travel day numbers are in the high probability levels for travel delay.  The numbers for highest probability of delay are 0 to -9 and positive 9 and 10.
 
 Microsoft Excel Chart
 Microsoft Excel Chart
Microsoft Excel Chart  

       THE BERG TIMER
  August thru November, 2019                                          Table of Daily Berg Timer Profile Numbers

Aug 1
6
Oct 1
5
Thu
8/1
-10
Tue
10/1
Aug 2
2
Oct 2
0
Fri
8/2
-9
Wed
10/2
Aug 3
3
Oct 3
6
Sat
8/3
-8
Thu
10/3
Aug 4
4
Oct 4
0
Sun
8/4
-7
Fri
10/4
Aug 5
0
Oct 5
2
Mon
8/5
-6
Sat
10/5
Aug 6
2
Oct 6
0
Tue
8/6
-5
Sun
10/6
Aug 7
4
Oct 7
2
Wed
8/7
-4
Mon
10/7
Aug 8
0
Oct 8
3
Thu
8/8
-3
Tue
10/8
Aug 9
4
Oct 9
4
Fri
8/9
-2
-12
Wed
10/9
Aug 10
2
Oct 10
5
Sat
8/10
-1
-11
Thu
10/10
Aug 11
7
Oct 11
3
Sun
8/11
0
-10
Fri
10/11
Aug 12
2
Oct 12
1
Mon
8/12
1
-9
Sat
10/12
Aug 13
1
Oct 13
3
Tue
8/13
2
-8
Sun
10/13
Aug 14
0
Oct 14
0
Wed
8/14
3
-7
Mon
10/14
Aug 15
4
Oct 15
5
Thu
8/15
4
-12
-6
Tue
10/15
-12
Aug 16
2
Oct 16
2
Fri
8/16
5
-11
-5
Wed
10/16
-11
-12
Aug 17
2
Oct 17
0
Sat
8/17
6
-10
-4
Thu
10/17
-10
-11
Aug 18
3
Oct 18
2
Sun
8/18
7
-9
-3
Fri
10/18
-9
-10
Aug 19
0
Oct 19
4
Mon
8/19
8
-8
-2
Sat
10/19
-8
-9
Aug 20
0
Oct 20
2
Tue
8/20
9
-7
-1
Sun
10/20
-7
-8
-12
Aug 21
10
Oct 21
0
Wed
8/21
10
-6
0
Mon
10/21
-6
-7
-11
Aug 22
2
Oct 22
2
Thu
8/22
11
-5
1
Tue
10/22
-5
-6
-10
Aug 23
0
Oct 23
1
Fri
8/23
12
-4
2
Wed
10/23
-4
-5
-9
Aug 24
6
Oct 24
1
Sat
8/24
-3
3
Thu
10/24
-3
-4
-8
Aug 25
3
Oct 25
3
Sun
8/25
-2
4
Fri
10/25
-2
-3
-7
Aug 26
1
Oct 26
3
Mon
8/26
-1
5
Sat
10/26
-1
-2
-6
Aug 27
9
Oct 27
7
Tue
8/27
-12
0
6
Sun
10/27
0
-1
-5
Aug 28
2
Oct 28
7
Wed
8/28
-11
1
7
Mon
10/28
1
0
-4
Aug 29
6
Oct 29
3
Thu
8/29
-10
2
8
Tue
10/29
2
1
-3
Aug 30
0
Oct 30
2
Fri
8/30
-9
3
9
Wed
10/30
3
2
-2
Aug 31
3
Oct 31
3
Sat
8/31
-8
4
10
Thu
10/31
4
3
-1
Sep 1
0
Nov 1
8
Sun
9/1
-7
5
11
Fri
11/1
5
4
0
Sep 2
3
Nov 2
0
Mon
9/2
-6
6
12
Sat
11/2
6
5
1
-12
Sep 3
2
Nov 3
4
Tue
9/3
-5
7
Sun
11/3
7
6
2
-11
-12
Sep 4
2
Nov 4
1
Wed
9/4
-4
8
Mon
11/4
8
7
3
-10
-11
Sep 5
6
Nov 5
3
Thu
9/5
-3
9
Tue
11/5
9
8
4
-9
-10
Sep 6
0
Nov 6
0
Fri
9/6
-2
10
Wed
11/6
10
9
5
-8
-9
Sep 7
0
Nov 7
4
Sat
9/7
-1
11
Thu
11/7
11
10
6
-7
-8
Sep 8
8
Nov 8
2
Sun
9/8
0
12
Fri
11/8
12
11
7
-6
-7
Sep 9
5
Nov 9
2
Mon
9/9
1
Sat
11/9
12
8
-5
-6
Sep 10
4
Nov 10
2
Tue
9/10
2
Sun
11/10
9
-4
-5
Sep 11
2
Nov 11
1
Wed
9/11
3
Mon
11/11
10
-3
-4
Sep 12
4
Nov 12
3
Thu
9/12
4
Tue
11/12
11
-2
-3
Sep 13
0
Nov 13
4
Fri
9/13
5
Wed
11/13
12
-1
-2
Sep 14
3
Nov 14
10
Sat
9/14
6
Thu
11/14
0
-1
Sep 15
0
Nov 15
7
Sun
9/15
7
Fri
11/15
1
0
Sep 16
0
Nov 16
4
Mon
9/16
8
Sat
11/16
2
1
Sep 17
1
Nov 17
3
Tue
9/17
9
Sun
11/17
3
2
Sep 18
2
Nov 18
2
Wed
9/18
10
Mon
11/18
4
3
Sep 19
2
Nov 19
3
Thu
9/19
11
Tue
11/19
5
4
Sep 20
2
Nov 20
2
Fri
9/20
12
Wed
11/20
6
5
Sep 21
1
Nov 21
3
Sat
9/21
Thu
11/21
7
6
Sep 22
1
Nov 22
0
Sun
9/22
Fri
11/22
8
7
Sep 23
0
Nov 23
3
Mon
9/23
Sat
11/23
9
8
Sep 24
2
Nov 24
2
Tue
9/24
Sun
11/24
10
9
Sep 25
3
Nov 25
3
Wed
9/25
Mon
11/25
11
10
Sep 26
2
Nov 26
5
Thu
9/26
Tue
11/26
12
11
Sep 27
2
Nov 27
2
Fri
9/27
Wed
11/27
12
Sep 28
2
Nov 28
3
Sat
9/28
Thu
11/28
Sep 29
1
Nov 29
2
Sun
9/29
Fri
11/29
Sep 30
4
Nov 30
2
Mon
9/30
Sat
11/30
 
Use the table above to find out the weather in your area and also probable travel delays.  The Travel Delays Profile and all the state weather profiles are below.
For instance, let's say you're traveling on May 29 or 30 and and are wondering about travel delays and weather during those two days.  Then let's say you look above in the BT Profile Numbers Table and see an -9 and -8 occurring on those days.  In the Airline Delays profile below, the numbers -9 and -8 are the highest numbers in the chart.  So your chances for airline delays are very high for those days.  Furthermore, if you live in Alabama, you can see below in the Alabama state profile that -8 and -9 are strong days for precipitation.  So there's a higher than average probability for rain.
That's all there is to it.


U.S. STATES' PROFILES


 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Microsoft Excel Chart
 
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 
  

Airline Delays

For airline delays you would check Dallas, New York, and/or Chicago profiles since extreme weather in any of the major hubs will cause delays everywhere.  

But an easier way is to just look at the Airline Delays profile below.  See that Airline Delays peaks during the 9 days prior to when BT is equal to 7 strength or above (day '0').  That's a good reason not to fly in the week before and including strong BT, the '0' day.  Four days after day '0' is the lowest delay time period.  
There was a huge delay on Sunday November 25, 2018 due to a winter storm.  That day was a -4 day according to the Table of Profile Numbers and was known infinitely early.  Thousands could have avoided that delay by using BT to plan their travel dates. 

Delays data source:  https://www.transtats.bts.gov/ONTIME/Airline.aspx  
Weather data source:  (very accurate) http://www.frontierweather.com/weatherdatastore.html
Days' probability for Airline Delays ---
High: -11 -9 -8 -7 -6 -4 -3 -2 0 9 10   Average: -12 -5 -1 1 5 6 7 11 12  Low: -10 2 3 4 8

 

A very good comparison between Airline Delays and U.S. Precipitation.  One indice confirmed by another is a great thing to see.
If you can arrange it, don't fly in the nine days preceeding a Berg Timer day with strength of 7 or above.  


The Berg Timer Precipitation Forecast Maps
answeringWhen’s it gonna rain?
(and what are the best days to fly?)

by Larry Berg
www.justgoodtiming.com

weather results charts courtesy of:
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/dailywxmap/



Paintbrush Picture
Everybody talks about the weather, but nobody does anything about it.
Charles Dudley Warner, but generally credited to his friend, Mark Twain.  The Hartford Courant, August 27, 1897


Daily forecasts (blue) & results (greenyelloworange)
The Berg Timer is based on planetary positions.  So the BT forecasts are known infinitely into the future with no loss of reliability.
Airline Delay probabilities are also published here.  High, Average, or Low.
Or you can always do it yourself for future days on this page here.

How are these forecasts made?  Daily precipitation data was accumulated for 2 to 6 locations in each state, depending on the state's size, for 217 U.S. cities from 2006 to 2017.  Then the daily data was averaged for each state and pasted into my profiler spreadsheet which then automatically displays the profile chart for each state (like the ones shown in the page above).  A state's profile shows its historical precipitation in relation to strong Berg Timer days, days '7' strength or higher.  
Based on each state's profile and the Berg Timer for a particular future day they're mapped and published.
The maps are quite accurate because planetary positions, as represented by BT, have empirically been proven to be highly representative of Earth weather changes.  
You'll often notice the blue areas noticeably moving across the U.S. from west to east, accurately forecasting the weather fronts and even isolated pockets of weather that pop up out of nowhere.
That's all there is to it.  Stay dry!


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                                            Airline Delay --- High                                                        Airline Delay --- High
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                                            Airline Delay --- High                                                        Airline Delay --- High
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                                            Airline Delay --- High                                                        Airline Delay --- High
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                                            Airline Delay --- High                                                        Airline Delay --- High
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                                            Airline Delay --- High                                                        Airline Delay --- High
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                                            Airline Delay --- High                                                        Airline Delay --- High
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                                            Airline Delay --- High                                                        Airline Delay --- High
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                                            Airline Delay --- High                                                        Airline Delay --- High
       ___________________________________________________________ _____

                 Due to low Berg Timer values, there are no precipitation maps between September 21 and October 14.

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                                            Airline Delay --- Average                                                        Airline Delay --- Average
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                                            Airline Delay --- High                                                        Airline Delay --- Average
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                                            Airline Delay --- Low                                                        Airline Delay --- High
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                                            Airline Delay --- Average                                                         Airline Delay --- Average
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                                            Airline Delay --- Low                                                         Airline Delay --- Average
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                                            Airline Delay --- Low                                                         Airline Delay --- Low
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                                            Airline Delay --- High                                                         Airline Delay --- Average
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                                            Airline Delay --- High                                                         Airline Delay --- High
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                                            Airline Delay --- High                                                         Airline Delay --- High
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                                            Airline Delay --- High                                                         Airline Delay --- High
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                                            Airline Delay --- High                                                         Airline Delay --- High
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                                            Airline Delay --- Low                                                         Airline Delay --- High
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                                            Airline Delay --- High                                                         Airline Delay --- High
       ___________________________________________________________ _____

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                                            Airline Delay --- High                                                         Airline Delay --- Average
       ___________________________________________________________ _____

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                                            Airline Delay --- High                                                         Airline Delay --- High
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                                            Airline Delay --- High                                                         Airline Delay --- Average
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                                            Airline Delay --- High                                                         Airline Delay --- High
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                                            Airline Delay --- High                                                         Airline Delay --- High
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                                            Airline Delay --- High                                                         Airline Delay --- High
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                                            Airline Delay --- High                                                         Airline Delay --- High
       ___________________________________________________________ _____

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                                           Airline Delay --- High                                                        Airline Delay --- High
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                                           Airline Delay --- High                                                        Airline Delay --- Average
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                                           Airline Delay --- High                                                        Airline Delay --- High
       ___________________________________________________________ _____

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                                           Airline Delay --- High                                                        Airline Delay --- Average
       ___________________________________________________________ _____

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                                           Airline Delay --- High                                                        Airline Delay --- High
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                                           Airline Delay --- Average                                                        Airline Delay --- Average
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                                           Airline Delay --- Average                                                        Airline Delay --- Average
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* There are no strong Berg Timer days within the 12 day window from July 26 to 29 so no forecast maps during that time.  
Airline Delay category is then Low.

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                                           Airline Delay --- Average                                                        Airline Delay --- Average
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                                             Airline Delay --- High                                                        Airline Delay --- High
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                                           Airline Delay --- Average                                                        Airline Delay --- Low
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                                           Airline Delay --- High                                                        Airline Delay --- Average
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                                           Airline Delay --- Low                                                        Airline Delay --- High
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                                       Airline Delay --- Average                                                 Airline Delay --- Average
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                                           Airline Delay --- Average                                                        Airline Delay --- High
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                                           Airline Delay --- High                                                        Airline Delay --- High
       ___________________________________________________________ _____

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                                                 Airline Delay --- High                                                      Airline Delay --- High
 Hurricane Forecast on Home Page
       ___________________________________________________________ _____

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                                                 Airline Delay --- High                                                        Airline Delay --- High
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                                                Airline Delay --- High                                                        Airline Delay --- High
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                                                 Airline Delay --- High                                                        Airline Delay --- High
       ___________________________________________________________ _____

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                                             Airline Delay --- High                                                         Airline Delay --- High
       ___________________________________________________________ _____

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                                        Airline Delay --- Low                                                    Airline Delay --- High
       ___________________________________________________________ _____

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                                        Airline Delay --- Average                                                     Airline Delay --- High

There are no strong Berg Timer days from June 22 to 25 so no forecast maps during that time.  
Now a welcome quiet period after the strong late May/early June activity.
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New Hurricane Forecast on Home Page
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                                        Airline Delay --- High                                                          Airline Delay --- High
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Tornadoes

Tornadoes are most often the result of strong low pressure fronts that move out of the Rocky Mountains into middle America, pulling up warm air from the south which combines with the cool atmospheric precipitates to form strong updrafting tornadoes.
They occur most often exactly when the Berg Timer is greater than or equal to '7' strength.  Of course this is only during the Spring to Autumn months of the year and in the continental U.S. east of the Rocky Mountains.  To find the most likely tornado days you can refer to the BT day values listed above in this page.

tornado data source: NOAA's Storm Prediction Center




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