Whole Earth Forecaster ™ © 2020 WEF
What Is The Berg Timer . . .
It's the clock of a planet's journey, and a volcano's fury.
All Nature's rhythm, inspiration given.
Man's precision from His vision.
When everything happens.
A gift of the heavens.
Two in a row . . . BT correctly forecasts hurricanes Barry and Dorian
11/14/2018 --- DROUGHT - Massive, deadly, historic California fires a part of the long ago forecasted drought for the 2020's. Droughts typically creep up on you over several years. Then all of a sudden it's a major drought like the dustbowl 1930's. See current U.S. Drought Chart.
11/20 --- CALIFORNIA PRECIP - BT profile for N. California peaks this Fri/Sat Nov. 23-24, correctly forecasting the 1-7 inch total precip expected for that area. Good job BT.
11/26 --- AIRLINE DELAY - The profile for Travel Delays peaked on day -4 which was on Sunday, November 25. Here a quote from ABC News: "Travelers going in and out of some Midwestern cities this Sunday are experiencing flight delays and cancellations on one of the busiest travel days of the year, with 15 states under a weather alert due to winter storm and blizzard warnings.".
Thousands could have avoided that delay by taking just a couple minutes to check here before planning their travel dates.
12/2/18 --- OCEAN CURRENTS - Getting close to finishing ocean study. As one might expect, it's complicated. But it's also very simple. Briefly, the BT cycle (the "eagle" formation) shows up everywhere. The only places where ocean height doesn't cycle with BT are the coastal areas where the five major currents of the world (N & S Atlantic, N & S Pacific, Indian ocean currents) hit the continents Charts to come.
12/10 --- WINTER STORM - BT correctly forecasts this major winter storm causing widespread airline delays. See Airline Delays profile details here which peaked twice on the day of Sunday's blizzard, a very rare BT event. As reported by USA Today, "American Airlines said it has proactively canceled 1,100 Sunday flights because of the storm. That is on top of 225 cancellations on Saturday.
The cancellations are now expected to spill into Monday, with American saying late Saturday that 300 Monday flights have been canceled." Power outages to over 160,000 in the Carolinas.
12/11/18 --- MERCURY DEW PT. - I reported long ago how BT can forecast Mars wind speed and Moonquakes. Now I've found correlations to Mercury's Dew Point and H20 Partial Pressure. Charts soon. I've got my hands full of so much good research. Like I've always said, researching the Berg Timer is like having a tiger by the tail.
12/13 --- OCEAN HEIGHT - Finding that the oceans rise and fall in a 25-day rhythm according to the Berg Timer. There are lots of studies finding a 50-day rhythm which might simply be an extension of a 25-day rhythm (D. Djurovic, P. Paquet 1991 Royal Meteorological Society and The "Madden and Julian Oscillation" 1971 widely referenced). However a 25-day rhythm has been found (Bizouaid and L. Seoane Atmospheric and Oceanic Forcing 2009). Looks like climate modelers have found the BT rhythm by going in the back door but they still don't know the 'why' or when these cycles are going to appear. The cause and the 'when' is planetary positions, a.k.a. the Berg Timer.
12/25 --- U.S. PRECIPITATION map charts now available, historical and forecasts. See here.
1/11/2019 --- I have several things still on the burner. Ocean study including height/temperature/speed/direction correlations. Atmospheric angular momentum. Also the Planet Mercury's dew point . . . good to know if we need to equip a Lander with windshield wipers, seriously.
2/16 --- LONG TERM TEMP - I'm calculating BT back to year 1000 to confirm a newly discovered BT/long term temperature correlation. Very exciting!
2/22 --- LONG TERM TEMP - BT from year 300 published today. Highest two BT peaks at beginning of Medeival Warm Period and Modern Warm Period. Link directly below to download yearly Berg Timer values from 300 to 2200 AD (Excel file).
3/2 --- MONTHLY BT values from 1900 to 2050 link below. Monthly BT on this website proven to be a good indicator for commodities, arctic ice, world cloudiness, temperature and wind speed, homocides, earthquakes, volcanoes, ozone, and monsoon.
3/17/19 --- U.S. TEMP UPDATED - Went over the whole website today and updated some of the charts if data available and also checked out some links and improved them if possible if the old one was inactive. Yearly U.S. temperature was updated.
4/13 --- BT UPDATE - The daily Berg Timer numbers through July 2019 are now available on the Forecasting Page. Also available there are the Profile Numbers to find out the probable airline travel delay days for your Spring-Summer travel. It really works!
4/16 --- Introducing MONTHLY Berg Timer Profiles! The first long term studies using monthly profiles has been finished on Global Sea Ice Extents. 'sea' below. It confirms the 1700 year temperature study shown directly below.
4/27/19 --- GLOBAL TEMPERATURE - 11:45 AM. Discovery! After making monthly profiles of global land and ocean temperature I find that the temperature profiles for North Hemisphere Land and South Hemisphere Sea correlate almost perfectly. And, vice versa, that North Ocean and South Land are also the same. Go figure. What an interesting correlation. Study length from 1968 to 2007. Data sources for land and sea are different which might add to its credibility. Sources http://berkeleyearth.org/data/ for land temperature and https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/ for sea surface temperature. Will put up charts asap. The new monthly profiles will lead to many new long term correlations/forecasting for BT. Then we'll do yearly profiles to consolidate BT's daily, monthly, and yearly capabilities. Finally putting it all together after 40 years of work.
4/29/19 --- GLOBAL TEMP PROFILES - Above are the previously mentioned correlations between N&S Hemispheres Land and Ocean Temperatures. Why the North-Land/South Ocean and North-Ocean/South Land correlation? One can only conclude that the larger areas prevail. The north land area is larger than the north ocean and the south oceans' area is larger than the south lands. So the two larger areas, the north lands and the south oceans hook up with the lesser areas. I've never heard or read of this correlation before. Of course, there may be an oceanographer who knows immediately how to explain this, maybe not. Maybe it's entirely new.
5/7 --- HURRICANE PROFILE - Finally I've created a profile for hurricanes. All Atlantic hurricanes from 2006 through 2017 were logged with their date and wind speeds. Then this data was correlated with respect to daily Berg Timer. That produced the BT Hurricane Profiles below which show the best and worst times to be in the Caribbean during hurricane season.
Atlantic Hurricanes during 2006 to 2017
The hurricane study done in 2004 is still published on the Natural Disasters page. That covered the period of 1999 to 2004.
It found that hurricanes started forming when the Berg Timer was '5' strength or more and that their maximum wind strength occurred within 8 days after that.
Those findings hold up with the new profiles.
The likelihood of hurricanes is least in the week before day '0', when BT >= 7 strength, and the likelihood greatest during the 8 days after '0'. The same goes for wind speed.
5/12/19 --- COSMIC RAYS Correction . . . The satellite was changed for the Cosmic Ray historical data causing a column change in the data. So the Electron data was incorrectly displayed as Neutron data. Thus, the corrected chart and info is below in The Sequence No. 6.
5/17 --- WILD & CRAZY - There are 4 days with Berg Timer strength of '7' or higher in the first nine days of June. Should be a wild and crazy period from the last week of May through the first couple weeks of June. June 7 is an especially strong '14' strength. Drive carefully.
6/2 --- Hang in there. Only a couple weeks left of this especially messy and dangerous weather. Precip weather map forecasts updated to July 1.
6/4/19 --- BT UPDATE & HURRICANE FORECAST - The Berg Timer has been updated through September 2019. BT is greater than '6' strength on August 11, 21, 27 and September 8. So that's when Atlantic hurricanes are most likely to start development as tropical depressions. They typically attain maximum wind speed about 8 days later in each instance. So if planning a trip to the Caribbean your best luck for good weather is the week before each of those strong BT days. You can see this charted with the new profile above in entry of 5/7. Also, every hurricane's wind speed relative to BT was charted from 2000-04 in my early research on this subject. For that click here BT and Atlantic Hurricanes.
6/15 --- HURRICANE FORECASTS COMBINED - I thought it might be interesting to create a total hurricane wind speed forecast chart. To do that we combine the expected hurricanes' wind speeds based on the Hurricane Wind Speed Profile shown above in 5/7. It's based on the four hurricane dates of Aug 11, 21, 27 and Sept 8. September BT is very weak after the Sept 8. Middle of August to the first week in Sept is the time of greatest probability of hurricane damage.
Addendum --- 9/15 The underlined forecast just above correctly forecasted hurricane Dorian's tragedy. Also see here how the rare July hurricane Barry was correctly forecasted.
6/16/19 --- DISCOVERY! MONTHLY GEOMAGNETISM PEAKS WITH STRONG BT - Short term Earth magnetic field fluctuations are caused by solar activity/Earth interaction. Below is monthly Berg Timer and geomagnetism from 1968 to 2011. Geomagnetism most often peaks when BT peaks. It also shows a longer-term correlation . . . geomagnetism moves down from 2004 to 2011 the same as the fading downward movement of a weak BT. Yearly BT and yearly geomagnetism chart coming soon.
Magnetic storms are monitored by NOAA in order to warn of possible power surges or disruption in power lines, radio, satellite, telephone, and military early warning/detection/navigation, induced currents in pipelines, and radiation on aircraft and astronauts. Not to mention orientation of whales, birds, bees, and even movement of microscopic bacteria. Geologic surveyors actually look forward to these magnetic storms in order to better sense subsurface oil and mineral structures.
BT forecasts would be a good thing to know in order to be prepared for these storms.
Below left monthly Geomagnetism and Sunspots peak at -2 to 1 month when monthly BT is strongest.
Below right daily Geomagnetism makes a rolling peak at -2 to 0 when daily BT is strongest.
The Berg Timer and the Solar Storm of August 1972
The powerful solar storms of early August 1972 were intense solar flares and particle events with major geomagnetic storms.
Flares were first reported August 2. Radio and satellite blackouts started immediately.
An August 4 flare was among the largest documented in history generating X-ray emissions above background level for more than 16 hours.
The geomagnetic storm caused widespread electrical grid and satellite disturbances throughout Canada and North America, the Phillipines, Brazil, and Japan. As many as 4,000 naval mines exploded in Haiphong Vietnam.
Navy investigators at the NOAA Space Environment Center confirmed that the geomagnetic intensity was enough to cause such explosions.
Regardless of location, some astronauts without complete shielding or moonwalkers would have faced certain death due to the radiation, cancer being unavoidable.
7/4/19 --- YEARLY BT/GEOMAGNETISM CONFIRMS MONTHLY and DAILY - The 6/16 entry demonstrated how monthly Berg Timer shared peaks and bottoms with geomagnetism. Below is yearly BT and geomagnetism.
7/23/19 --- GOOD JOB BT FORECASTING A RARE JULY HURRICANE!
On July 8 the Berg Timer hits a very strong '12' strength.
On July 9 the system developed a broad area of low pressure over the eastern Florida Panhandle. A day later, on July 10, the broad low-pressure system emerged from the Florida Panhandle into Apalachee Bay in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico.
On July 11 NHC reports "the NHC upgraded the system to Tropical Storm Barry at 15:00 UTC on July 11".
On July 13 NHC reports "Barry became a hurricane around 11-12Z", making landfall later that day.
On July 14 Barry progressed farther inland weakening into a tropical depression at 21:00 UTC on July 14 over northwestern Louisiana.
As discussed above in 6/4 hurricanes typically start to develop as tropical cyclones/depressions on high BT days. Then they reach highest wind speed about 8 days later. Barry reached peak strength on July 13, five days after strong BT.
BT was also correct in its forecast for rainfall in the gulf area states with its precipitation maps.
Precipitation maps have now been added up through August 14 on the maps page.
8/18 --- UPDATED CALIFORNIA QUAKE PROFILE This new daily profile has been extended to 17 days before and after strong BT, when BT > 6 strength. Most important days to watch out for quake likelihood are 7 to 8 days before and 12 days after strong BT, day '0'.
8/30/19 --- HURRICANE UPDATE. Appears that BT helped me make the following on-the-mark hurricane forecast on 6/15 above which was, "Middle of August to the first week in Sept is the time of greatest probability of hurricane damage.".
A quiet period expected from September 17 to October 2.
9/12/19 --- DATA SOURCES UPDATED & ADDED. Government and academic science data pages come and go as programs end and begin. So I've updated and added to the Data Sources at the bottom of this page. Seeing some new data on the interplanetary magnetic field, moonquakes/marsquakes/earthquakes, traffic accidents, and crime. Calls for some new work.
9/28/19 --- GLOBAL TEMPERATURE IS PEAKING NOW. A Berg Timer pattern has been found which gives us good reason to expect a major peak of global temperature in 2020 with a bottom in the mid to late 2060's. See explanation and 1400 year study directly below. El Nino correlation updated. Late season tropical depression formation possible late October and mid November with max winds, as always. 8 days later.
Below are links to Excel files listing Monthly and Yearly BT values.
September 28, 2019
Berg Timer Says Major Temperature Peak in 2020!
Bottom mid to late 2060's
Strong yearly Berg Timer marks significant lows in temperature. The two strongest BT years of 949 and 1982 are major temperature lows, 949 being the beginning of the Medieval Warming Period and 1982 the low of the beginning of the longest upward trend of the current Modern Warm Period.
Note also the absence of strong BT from 1520 to the late 1700's called "The Little Ice Age". This low BT period also coincides with the famous Maunder Minimum when almost no sunspots occurred and during which the world was colder than any other 1400 year period. This cold period ended precisely with the third strongest BT in 1845, the absolute lowest temperature in 1400 years and the beginning of the Industrial Revolution and the Modern Warm Period. I hope to do a study way back using ice core data to see if these findings hold up. Maybe someone can get to that before me. If so please let me know what you find.
We are now .3 tenths of a degree °C warmer than the previous highest temperature in the year 970.
Below is Global Temperature and Berg Timer from 1820 to 2020. Note the two periods of the Berg Timer that are very similar. The earlier period made a 30 year peak in 1881. The current pattern ends right now in 2020 which should again be a peak in global temperature lasting about 30 years.
10/13/19 --- PRECIPITATION TO OCT 31. It's been relatively calm weather with no threatening hurricanes since mid-September as BT forecasted. Strong BT coming up so weather should be likely starting about October 20. The maps are full of rain areas from then until late November. Calm from late November to mid-December.
LATE SEASON HURRICANE POSSIBLE - Hurricanes begin during the season within a couple days of BT hitting '5' or more in strength, that being a tropical depression. Then highest winds within 8 days of that. Late October and mid-November are bringing strong BT which could whip up a couple late-season hurricanes.
If a hurricane forms it has the possibility of developing into a good-sized hurricane. Maximum winds would be expected within 8 days (which is always the rule).
11/11/19 --- CALIFORNIA QUAKES >4.9 IN 2019 - So far in 2019 there have been six earthquakes at or greater than 5.0 occurring in California, one on July 4 and July 5, three on July 6 and one on August 22. All the July quakes occurred within two days of the peak in the Cal quake profile with three exactly on the July 6 profile peak, including a 7.1 strength. The BT profile for California successfully and quite accurately forecasted the high probability for strong quakes in July of 2019.
The first two earthquakes occurred in Searles Valley near the edge of Death Valley National Park. The strongest one on the 6th occurred during the Ridgecrest Earthquake Sequence that started with the 6.4 quake on July 4 with more than 100,000 aftershocks rattling most of Southern California. There were eight events greater than 3.9. The last two on July 6 occurred along the Little Lake fault zone. Good forecasting job BT!
Future Cal Quake profile peaks can be monitored by using BT Data. Profile peaks occur 7 and 8 days before the daily Berg Timer hits a strength of '7' or more.
11/19/19 --- Happy 39th Birthday BT! You're workin' better than ever.
11/27/19 --- LARGE WINTER WEATHER SYSTEM FORECASTED BY BT. Snarled traffic, heavy snow, and strong winds gripped a large swath of the U.S. from California east to the upper Midwest during the days before Thanksgiving. Below are the BT forecasts showing strong Berg Timer for these areas and actual outcomes of precipitation for these days.
11/28/19 --- HAPPY THANKSGIVING! MY GIFT TO YOU . . . HOW TO MAKE YOUR OWN BT PRECIPITATION MAP.
If you want to find out if your state has a high probability for precipitation on a particular future day you can refer to the BT Mapping Table on the map page. There you will find the directions for future precipitation mapping.
Looks like stormy weather will be moving into the Northwest on December 22. Then moving east into the upper Midwest by December 24-25, then fizzles out in the Northeast on the 27th. Then another system develops in Nebraska area and moves east covering the whole East Central area from north to south by year end. Slippery New Year there!
12/24/19 --- MERRY CHRISTMAS, HAPPY HANUKKAH, UNIFYING KWANZAA, and good wishes to all. Peace to all during this season and all seasons for everyone, all around this great big beautiful world.
1/1/2020 --- HAPPY NEW YEAR! May your new year be full of love, joy, and happiness.
1/2/20 --- AUSTRALIA BURNING AND INDONESIA FLODDING. 12 million acres burning, the size of Connecticut. 17 people have died. Looks like an obvious El Nino connection. I'll check it out. Berg Timer has a very strong connection to El Nino which has been updated and which can be seen here.
1/4/20 --- HAPPY BIRTHDAY TO ME, MY DAD, AND MY SON (within one hour of my birth time).
All natural births, second borns. One in 48,627,125 chance of that happening (365x365x365), not counting sex or birth order.
Just good timing.
1/10/20 --- TORNADOES ARE HIGHLY PROBABLE WHEN BT IS '7' STRENGTH OR MORE and also on the day before. The future days from Jan to March are Jan 8-9 and 18-19, Feb 14-15 and 20-21, Mar 6-7. No strong BT days in April.
*late note - Some very rare Winter tornadoes occurred January 10 and 11 of 2020 in the SE U.S.. Strong BT during these Winter days most often cause Winter Storms and Blizzards due to a downward plunge of the Jet Stream from Canada. During the Spring and Summer months these strong BT days result in Low Pressure fronts moving eastward out of the Rocky Mountains into the Midwest and then sometimes as far as the Deep South.
2/9/20 --- AUSTRALIA RAINFALL WILL INCREASE NOW TO 2022. It's estimated that fire has devastated at least 46 million acres in Australia this year with more than 2,600 homes and 6,000 buildings destroyed.
Below see the very weak BT in 2019 coinciding with the very low Australian precipitation. The same happened at least seven times since 1955. There's been sustained low BT since 1999 with equally low rainfall. This is evidence that the world has been in a continuing dry, warm period accelerated by yearly lows of BT (planetary symmetry) since 1999.
Hope is coming with strong BT forecasting higher rainfall this year through to 2022. As my major 1400 year study above in the 9/28 entry shows, we are now experiencing a major long term peak in global temperature. The decline of temperature should last until the 2060's.
2/19/20 --- SUPER TUESDAY, MARCH 3, WEATHER FORECAST. The Berg Timer precipitation forecast map for the big primary election day shows a high probability for stormy weather in and around almost all of the election states. Below is the map compared to the election states. The only election state that looks clear is Minnesota. Weather could definitely be a factor in voter turnout.
2/25/20 --- ELECTION DAY, NOVEMBER 3, 2020, WEATHER FORECAST COURTESY OF THE BERG TIMER.
You'll only find it here folks . . . an accurate U.S. weather forecast 8 months ahead of the presidential election. And what a valuable tool this can be. Campaigns can plan in advance to put extra assets and effort into getting out the vote in areas with severe weather. In this case the weather outlook for the whole country looks like it'll be a mess. So it'll be even more important than usual for the campaigns to prepare for bad weather. The worst areas should be from New Mexico spreading all the way to New York, and from S. California to Washington. The only areas that might be spared will be Colorado and South Carolina. But this weather forecast is so broad that it should be assumed to be affecting everywhere.
The campaigns that prepare for this mess might well mean the difference between victory and defeat.
3/15/20 --- INFLUENZA & PNEUMONIA DEATHS FORECASTED BY BERG TIMER. Seventeen years ago I did a study showing that weekly U.S. flu and pneumona deaths fluctuate positively with weekly BT. It's published on the Behavior Page. I'm working on a monthly and yearly analysis but as is the case with most indices, a positive correlation with daily or weekly BT usually is also positive with monthly and yearly time frames.
The coronavirus is hitting us now in 2020, a very strong BT year, the strongest yearly BT since 1982. So it proves another instance of BT's ability to forecast the natural cycles of our environment.
The weekly BT/Influenza and Pheumonia Deaths chart of 2002-2003, which is published on the Behavior Page, is repeated below.
3/23/20 --- CORONAVIRUS FORECAST --- IT MIGHT BE A LONG YEAR. As shown above, the weekly Berg Timer can forecast influenza with pretty good accuracy. So below is weekly BT's forecast for 2020-21. BT forecasts influenza in 2020 to decline into May 20 then up to June 10.
The extent and severity of this crisis I think all depends on how we respond to it. If we stay away from crowds, not spread it around any further, and keep our hands clean, we should be able to control it. But as BT is warning, the atmospherics are and will continue to be advantageous for the production of strong viral activity all year long.
Interesting article on the probability that the animal source of the coronavirus "could still be circulating in the animal population and might once again jump into humans.". The most likely source? bats. Nature Medicine, Scripps Research Institute, March 17 2020.
4/7/2020 --- BT'S PROFILE OF INFLUENZA CLARIFIES ITS FORECAST
I found daily influenza data. Most all agencies use weekly time frames to present their data. Daily data is the best time frame to use for profiles. You then know how something will behave on weekly, monthly, and yearly time frames. The daily profile for influenza shows that it historically bottoms eleven days prior to when BT is greater than '6' strength, day '0'. Then influenza starts to rise, making another bottom at day '6', then continuing its rise to day '15'. Below is the daily BT profile of Influenza Deaths.
Below is weekly Influenza and weekly Berg Timer for 2020-2021. BT has been lagged 2 weeks because the Flu Profile shows that Influenza peaks two weeks after strong BT, day '0'.
From the strength of BT coming up it can't be denied that this is an unusually strong period of virus-friendly atmospherics. I think it would be a mistake to lighten up on our social restrictions, thinking it's all over at the first sign of a decline. We should all be very careful of this very contagious disease. It's capable of reasserting itself after a slowdown.
4/20/2020 --- CORONAVIRUS MOVING DOWN. The chart above has been updated to April 16. The weekly Berg Timer forecasts further declines until May 20. Then a lot of ups and downs to year end. Quite a lot of optimism around but it's really not time to start everything back up again, not yet. BT shows strong volatility for the rest of the year with definite highs and lows, showing the need for patience during the coming months.
4/23/2020 --- BT SAYS STRONG TORNADO SEASON NOW UNTIL JUNE 2. Below is an extended updated BT Profile for Tornadoes, Behavior of tornadoes 25 days before and after when BT is greater than 6 strength. Tornadoes are most frequent during the 24 days before strong BT. Then they immediately fall in frequency after day '0' with one strong day 21 later.
See below, lots of strong daily BT days coming up . . . seven days at 7 strength or above from May 14 to June 2. Looking at the profile there is a high probability for tornadoes at days -21, -13, -8, 0, and 21. So, for instance, 21 days before May 14 is April 23 so there's a high probability for tornadoes today. The last couple days there were very strong, deadly tornadoes in Texas and Oklahoma. So it's all beginning now and will last until around June 2, with all these strong BT days clicking off tornadoes during the whole period. Stay aware of the weather forecasts. Be safe inside and below ground if possible if there's a tornado warning in your area. Masks and gloves optional.
4/24/2020 --- CORONAVIRUS/BT CHART UPDATED ABOVE IN 4/20 AREA. The CDC often updates its weekly Influenza Deaths data so you never really know how it's going to settle for sure. The new update shows deaths even more clearly following BT, making the peak in mid-April as BT expected and now falling, expecting an important bottom May 20, then moving up to June 10.
*Note --- Influenza Deaths data lines in the previous charts will be updated in those charts as new data comes in.
5/1/2020 --- HOPING THE MAY 20-JUNE 10 RISE IS NOT STRONG. The weekly Flu Deaths/BT chart in the 4/7 area above has been updated. Flu Deaths are following BT very well, correctly forecasting the 4/11 deaths peak.
5/4/2020 --- CLICK HERE TO SEE NEW SUNSPOT PROFILE EXTENDED TO 49 DAYS. I'm starting to extend the profiles of the various indices and find great new information available for forecasting them. The symmetry between both sides of the '0' day lends support to the fact that something real is going on here, that the Berg Timer is, if not causal, at least influencial in the behavior of, well, everything.
5/9/2020 --- VIRUS DEATHS CHART UPDATED WITH LATEST WEEK'S DATA. Virus deaths continued down as BT expected. Expecting a bottom on May 20. Forecast extended to June 2021.
Berg Timer unusually strong through to November 2020. One does not know whether it's BT's effect is on the atmospheric environment affecting the weak or causing increased virul growth, or both. Regardless, its control will require continual effort.
addendum *** There are seven days with BT >6 strength coming up from May 14 to June 2 (see BT chart just above). Things can get wild and crazy in all facets of life and environment. Be careful. On the other hand, it's a great time to finalize/end big projects and plan/begin new ones.
5/12/2020 --- SIGNS THAT THE 2020'S DROUGHT LONG AGO FORECASTED HERE (JULY 2012) IS BECOMING FACT.
An online CBS news article was posted on May 9 titled "Ominous trend in American West could signal a looming "megadrought" is warning that the U.S. West is drying up. It says:
"Come spring, the American West's vast water reservoirs are supposed to fill with melting snow. However, this year, as in recent years, the large reservoirs of Lake Mead and Lake Powell in the Colorado River basin area have seen declining water levels — an ominous trend that a new study warns could signal a looming megadrought. The persistence of the drought conditions, in the Colorado River basin especially, is essentially unprecedented in human history," John Fleck, author of "Water is for Fighting Over," told CBS News' John Blackstone."
5/17/2020 --- MARS AIR CLARITY (ABSENCE OF DUST) MATCHES U.S. WIND & THE BERG TIMER. Many years ago I published BT compared to Mars Wind. Air clarity has become an important issue with Mars exploration because the machines require sunlight to keep their batteries charged. Windy days spewing dust in the air and on instruments is not good. So I investigated Mars Air Opacity, data collected by the Phoenix Lander, and found a great positive correlation not only to BT but also to U.S. wind! Mars and Earth weather similar in timing? Wow! If all planetary atmospheres are moving at the same time because of planetary symmetry, as represented by BT, well, that's BIG. Being able to accurately forecast strong wind events, "dust devils" as they call them, on Mars would be great for scheduling martian rover exploration and for forecasting weather when we have settlements there. So below is the comparison of BT and Mars Air Opacity. BT correlates quite well, with the eleven strongest BT days matching strong Opacity. The U.S. wind and Mars Opacity correlation is an added discovery which has strong science-moving significance (say that 11 times real fast). Two chill-up-the-back discoveries.
6/3/2020 --- 2020 is the strongest BT year since 1982.
You never know how one of the strongest Berg Timer years in history is going to personify itself.
Could be a hurricane, earthquake, or a tsunami.
But now we know that a very strong BT year can also be . . . a pandemic, with waves of riots, theft, and arson.
addendum--6/7 As mentioned in the 5/9 entry, strong BT is a sign that it's a good time to finish projects and begin new ones. There's strength behind the movement just begun for domestic police reformation. It will lead to new rules for police procedures with world-wide effects.
7/3/2020 --- MARS AND MERCURY ATMOSPHERIC BEHAVIOR IS SIMILAR. Continuing with the study above in the 5/17 entry showing the similarity between Mars air dust and Earth wind, below is a chart comparing the same Mars air dust and Mercury Dew Point. Earth, Mars, and Mercury. It's further proof that all solar system planetary bodies with atmospheres share similar circulation timing due to planetary angularity/symmetry as represented by the Berg Timer.
also 7/3/2020 --- Today I caught a program on the Animal Planet channel called "nature's strangest mysteries:solved". It was talking about Yellowstone's Steamboat Geyser and how unpredictable it is. Can't be predicted? Well, that peaked my interest. Then they said it was erupting again here in 2020. 2020? A year with the strongest Berg Timer since 1982? Well, then I turned up the volume. Then they said it hadn't erupted this strong since 1982. 1982? The last time BT was as strong as 2020? Well, that's it. I instantly did a search on the history of Steamboat Geysers. Sure enough, lots of geysers in 1982 and 2020. Some from 1961-68, one in 1911.
Happy 4th of July!
7/20/2020 --- HURRICANE SEASON FORECAST FOR 2020. ARE YOU READY? The strongest Berg Timer year since 1982 is making this a busy hurricane season. We've already had six tropical storms with sixteen BT days of '7' or more strength during May, June and July. And we're in a hurricane possible period here from July 31 to August 10.
On July 19, the '19' strength BT got things started. Even though it's early we can't ignore a '19' strength day. A tropical depression is heading toward the Gulf of Mexico. If it takes its time to generate some energy before it reaches the gulf shore we'll have a very wet Hurricane Gonzalo by July 27. (late correction, storm is named Hanna)
The strongest periods of the season will be August 14-30, September 11-18, October 13-20, and Oct. 31-November 19. November? Yep. Since 1995 there have been thirteen hurricanes in November, including two each in 1999 and 2001.
The rule is that the daily Berg Timer must be '7' strength or higher in order to generate a hurricane. Then maximum strength winds most often occur within 8 days. The most likely hurricane days are shown with the horizontal lines in the charts below.
BT calms down in late September. And then on October 12 the Berg Timer hits '7' strength so hurricanes are more possible on October 13-20.
BT is at '8' strength on both lucky Novembers 7 and 11. So there's a hurricane potential from October 31 through to November 19th.
Addendum 8/26/2020 --- I changed the charts below to show the beginning of each 7 strength BT day with its own individual line.
That way you can see the cumulative effect of several strong BT days like we're having in mid August. Hurricane Laura is peaking in strength today on August 26. Looks like a good way to present all future forecasts.
Laura started on 9/19 as Tropical Depression 13 and ended 8/26 lasting 8 days. Eight days is the rule for how long hurricanes usually take to reach peak wind speed. That was true for Laura. Calm from September 17 to October 12, right at the peak of the hurricane season.
7/22/2020 --- NEW CASES OF CORONA VIRUS FORECASTED BY THE BERG TIMER
In the earlier 5/9/2020 entry I showed how weekly Berg Timer correlates with Influenza Deaths. Below is daily BT compared with daily Covid-19 New Cases. BT bottomed well with the virus in early June then both rose strongly in July. Also discernable are matches of single-day peaks of the virus cases with single-day spikes of BT. That's interesting.
We'll see if this major BT peak of July 19 can get New Cases to move down, even with increased testing. That would be great.
7/30/2020 --- THE CORONA VIRUS CHART ABOVE WILL BE UPDATED THERE AT LEAST ONCE A WEEK.
8/1/2020 --- Updated chart above. Sure looks like New Cases are peaking.
8/4/2020 --- I've found that very high monthly BT also occurred during the 1918-19 Spanish Influenza, 1957-58 Asian Flu, 1968-9 Hong Kong Flu, the 1347 Black Death, and the 2009-10 Swine Flu Pandemics. I also just correlated monthly BT and U.S. Drought, finding that drought is also peaking right now with the CoronaVirus. That makes sense since viruses hate sunshine and heat. When the environment gets to a certain degree of sunshine and heat it breaks the virus' trend. Like right now. What a strong peak drought is making. The strongest since this drought index began in 2000.
8/26/2020 --- A change has been made to the 7/20/2020 hurricane forecast charts to show the cumulative strength of BT to forecast hurricanes. BT did a good job forecasting the now peaking Hurricane Laura. BT forecasted the exact daily peak of Coronavirus New Cases within 5 days. The chart is above in the 7/22/20 entry. Good job BT.
Below is a picture my son took tonight of Jupiter, Saturn, and Pluto all close together. Their 'closeness' is within 7 degrees of longitude of each other and it occurs in the constellation of Capricorn. It's called a 'conjunction' and is highly responsible for the very strong Berg Timer and a lot of the chaos this year.
Jupiter can barely be seen a little above the Moon, Saturn is clearly seen to the upper left of the moon, and Pluto can't be seen due to its distance.
This astronomical event has occurred only twice in the last 2000 years and will last from March 2020 to March 2021. That's just about the same amount of time that the coronavirus will have been very active.
8/31/2020 --- BERG TIMER UPDATED THRU TO THE END OF THE YEAR. Click on 'Berg Timer Data' in left column to go there.
After September 10 we'll go a whole month without BT being greater than 5 strength. Whew! Finally a breather from strong BT. Maybe things will quiet down for a while. Tomorrow a strong '10' BT day. It's not the strong BT days themselves as much as the days immediately before and after the strong BT which usually shows up as strong weather, accidents, volatile behavior. Strong BT can be compared to something that's in balance, being less balanced on either side, the rhythm of the universe. Like the pole vaulter balanced at the top of a jump or the pendulum of a clock at the end of a swing, or a cresting ocean wave before it crashes on the beach.
9/5/2020 --- THE 2020 DROUGHT FORECASTED HERE IN JULY 2012 IS NOW OFFICIALLY HERE.
Drought is a strange thing. It doesn't just OCCUR. It creeps up on you, month by month, year by year. Then all of a sudden, hey, we're in a drought!
Here is the latest U.S. drought status as reported by Drought.gov:
August 26-September 1, 2020
Extreme (D3) and Exceptional (D4) drought is present in Arizona, New Mexico, Colorado, Utah, Oklahoma, Texas, Kansas, Iowa, Nebraska, Wyoming, Oregon, Nevada, and California.
Severe (D2) drought is present in Hawaii, Arizona, New Mexico, Utah, Colorado, Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Nebraska, Missouri, Iowa, South Dakota, North Dakota, Wyoming, Montana, Idaho, Washington, Oregon, California, Nevada, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, and Maine.
Washington Post 9/4/2020 --- California's `brutal' heat wave is underway, expected to topple all-time records, escalate fire risks. Electricity demand is expected to soar along with temperatures. California's second-, third- and fourth-largest wildfires on record still actively burning. Hottest season on record: Merciless Phoenix heat blasts by all-time monthly, summer milestones
Los Angeles Times 9/5/2020 --- Already on Friday, a record-high temperature of 109 degrees was set at Palmdale Airport, breaking the old record of 107 set on that date in 1955. Lancaster Fox Field tied a record of 108 also set in 1955. Southern California heat wave could break all-time records, raising fears of effects.
Below is a map showing the global drought condition.
A man sits on the San Gabriel River jetty in the midst of an historic heat wave. (Luis Sinco/LA Times)
9/15/2020 --- THE WORST IS OVER. The coronavirus has seen its peak and hurricanes, after Sally, are not likely to threaten the U.S. coast until mid-October. October would be a little late in the season, so Sally should be the end of this year's threatening hurricanes.
The coronavirus chart below extends the previous one's BT forecast to June 30, 2021. BT will not be reaching the historically very strong levels that it did last July. So the virus shouldn't reach the previous mid-July highs again.
BT will be bottoming in late September and moving up to early November. So new virus cases should bottom and move up a little during this time. The virus will be overcome by a weakening BT in late December and, anyway, by December vaccines will have arrived, lifting optimism and the economy. You can see my latest market comment and election outlook on the Stock Market page.
Hi, my name is Larry Berg. I guess you could call me an astrometeorologist, the best name I can think of to describe it. I was schooled in Journalism at the University of Nebraska but in 1980 after searching for an indicator to trade the market I discovered something capable of forecasting the weather and many things related to weather, which is just about everything. That put me on the long trail of discovery and along the way having to teach myself some astrophysics, solar physics, meteorology, and then throw in some planetary sciences all in order to do this research. It's been so much fun.
This new empirical proof of the effect of heliocentric, sun centered planetary positions first started as a monthly stock market trading newsletter in 1981. Then it just gradually grew into the indicator's more applications as I discovered them.
Its many applications on this website are now the result of over 40 years, and tens of thousands of hours of concentration, labor, sacrifice, data acquisition, analysis, frustration and discovery. It could not have been completed without the scientists, engineers, and researchers in all fields of study who are part of a great vast network of technology and who make their data available for research. And certainly growing up with a big back yard helped to, surrounded by Nature, and blessed with an instinct for the understanding that all things have their own rythm and wanting to find out how and more interestingly, why.
My work is now finding its true form. The newly developed BT profiles are simplifying everything and objectively proving that the capability now exists to forecast weather, solar activity, health, crime, hurricanes, seismicity, El Nino, tornadoes, Mercury-Venus-Mars weather, and even police calls. It's not only what I think will be found to be new physics but also just a simply accurate forecasting tool that can make our everyday lives better. That's the Berg Timer.
Ever since I turned over my first rock as a child I've been fascinated by Nature. My interest became the study of natural cycles, specifically, the relationship between planetary cycles, solar cycles, and the cycles of Earth's weather, biosphere, geology, and even human behavior.
It's to everyone's benefit and even necessity to have a good understanding of the future. Whether it's weather, sales, politics, science, health services, the markets . . . everyone is dependent upon, and subject to, future circumstances. Knowing more about these natural cycles and being able to predict the future enables us to have more control over our lives and business.
I created and developed this simple indicator which can forecast many things, very reliably. Farmers and traders now know when the next drought will occur and when it'll be rainy and cool. Emergency services now know when accidents are most likely to happen. Power companies know when to expect geomagnetic storms. Business owners can forecast sales strength. Stock market investors know when to buy and sell. Now we all know when we'll have the best weather to schedule outdoor activities and travel. The Berg Timer can forecast most anything you want or need to know.
BT's applications are so broad that any institution, business, or individual can benefit by applying it to their activities.
And what's most attractive about it is that since BT is based on planetary positions, and their positions can be projected with precise accuracy, BT can make its forecasts infinitely into the future with no loss in reliability.
Welcome. Join me as I turn over some more rocks.
Due to the evidence presented here, it can be concluded that the planets,
when in certain predictable heliocentric positions, as represented by the Berg Timer,
cause solar activity, affecting Earth's weather.
Thus BT can forecast not only weather but most all things affected by weather,
which is just about everything.
And God said, "Let there be lights in the firmament of the heavens to separate the day from the night; and let them be for signs and for seasons and for days and years". The Holy Bible, Genesis [1:14]
My aim is to say that the machinery of the heavens is not like a divine animal but like a clock and that in it almost all the variety of motions is from one very simple magnetic force acting on bodies, as in the clock all motions are from a very simple weight.
Johannes Kepler, Letter to J.G. Herwart von Hohenburg, 16 February 1605.
Kepler, astrologer and astronomer, worked from the carefully measured positions of the planets recorded by Tycho Brahe to mathematically deduce his three laws of planetary motion, enabling Isaac Newton to devise the law of gravitation.
The relationships set forth here imply that certain dynamic forces exerted on the sun by the motions of the planets are the cause of the sunspot activity.
Paul D. Jose, Aerospace Research, USAF. The Astronomical Journal, Vol. 70. April 1965.
It is found empirically that solar activity is preceded by planetary conjunctions. A long-range prediction technique has been in use for 2.5 years, which predicts flares and proton events months in advance.
J.B. Blizard, Denver University. American Physical Society Bulletin #13, June 1968.
In summation, after more than 25 years of research in this field of solar system science, I can say without equivocation that there is very strong evidence that the planets, when in certain predictable arrangements, do cause changes to take place in those solar radiations that control our ionosphere.
John H. Nelson, RCA Communications. Cosmic Patterns. 1974.
Mr. Nelson uses solar map to study sunspot activity. RCA Communications, June 1959
The words above were spoken or published by religious teachings and respected science journals and authors. Their work has been personified by the creation of the Berg Timer in 1980.
This body of work represents the bringing together of the wisdom of the ancient astrologers and the accuracy of today's astronomer to demonstrate that all of the universe's physical and biological paths are inextricably and importantly linked to the planets. From the ancient Aztec and Maya civilizations, the 13th Century's Ptolemy and Dante, and the Renaissance's Galileo, Kepler, and Brahe who overturned the old astrological order, to today's so technologically accurate astronomers. All share the common goals of truth and the value of scientific understanding.
FATHERS OF PHYSICS & ASTRONOMY
AD 100 - 168
1564 - 1642
1571 - 1630
SIR ISAAC NEWTON
1642 - 1726
1879 - 1955
. . . only
mathematics can provide sure and unshakable knowledge to its devotees, provided one
approaches it rigorously. For its kind of proof proceeds by indisputable methods, namely
arithmetic and geometry
In questions of science, the authority of a thousand is not worth the humble reasoning of a single individual.
I much prefer the sharpest criticism of a single intelligent man to the thoughtless approval of the masses.
The roads by which men arrive at their insights into celestial matters seem to me almost as worthy of wonder as those matters in themselves.
The same thing is to be understood of all bodies, revolved in any orbits. They all endeavour to recede from the centres of their orbits, and were it not for the opposition of a contrary force which restrains them to and detains them in their orbits, which I therefore call Centripetal, would fly off in right lines with a uniform motion.
The grand aim of all science is to cover the greatest number of empirical facts by logical deduction from the smallest number of hypotheses or axioms.
Ptolemy's Almagest was an authoritative text on astronomy for more than a thousand years, and the Tetrabiblos, its companion volume, was influential in the study of the effects of astronomical cycles on earthly matters.
Galileo was one of the first modern thinkers to clearly state that the laws of nature are mathematical.
Kepler's three laws of planetary motion around the sun correctly replaced Copernicus' heliocentric orbits with elliptical trajectories, two of the laws being that planets move in ellipses with the Sun at one focus and a planet sweeps out equal areas in equal times.
In Principia, Isaac Newton formulated the laws of motion and universal gravitation that formed the dominant scientific viewpoint until it was superseded by Einstein's theory of relativity.
Albert Einstein was the developer of the theory of relativity, one of the two pillars of modern physics (alongside quantum mechanics).
More Isaac Newton quotes . . .
The same law takes place in a system, consisting of many bodies, as in one single body, with regard to their persevering in their state of motion or of rest. For the progressive motion, whether of one single body or of a whole system of bodies, is always to be estimated from the motion of the center of gravity.
If the experiments which I urge be defective, it cannot be difficult to show the defects; but if valid, then by proving the theory, they must render all objections invalid.
It is indeed a matter of great difficulty to discover, and effectually to distinguish, the true motions of particular bodies from the apparent because the parts of that immovable space, in which those motions are performed, do by no means come under the observation of our senses.
Just as the system of the sun, planets and comets is put in motion by the forces of gravity, and its parts persist in their motions, so the smaller systems of bodies also seem to be set in motion by other forces and their particles to be variously moved in relation to each other and, especially, by the electric force.
More Albert Einstein quotes . . .
Any intelligent fool can make things bigger and more complex… It takes a touch of genius – and a lot of courage to move in the opposite direction.
Only one who devotes himself to a cause with his whole strength and soul can be a true master. For this reason mastery demands all of a person.
I am thankful for all of those who said NO to me. Its because of them I’m doing it myself.
It's not that I'm so smart, it's just that I stay with problems longer.
If you can't explain it simply, you don't understand it well enough.
It should be possible to explain the laws of physics to a barmaid.
There is no logical way to the discovery of these elemental laws. There is only the way of intuition, which is helped by a feeling for the order lying behind the appearance.
It gives me great pleasure indeed to see the stubbornness of an incorrigible nonconformist warmly acclaimed.
Science is a wonderful thing if one does not have to earn one's living at it.
God always takes the simplest way.
I think and think for months and years. Ninety-nine times, the conclusion is false. The hundredth time I am right.
You ask me if I keep a notebook to record my great ideas. I've only ever had one.
The early scientists, Ptolemy-Galileo-Kepler were all, at their roots, astrologers. They all knew and understood that both their environment and themselves were affected by the heavens. And they were astronomers. They knew that detail and strict rules of analysis and logic brought their theories home with facts. Their work ushered in, and laid the basis for, the science of astronomy.
God has given us the wonderful ability to understand the complex interrelationships between ourselves and Nature.
The Berg Timer was developed as a useful tool to better manage and enjoy His creation, our home.
Larry Berg, Discoverer of the Berg Timer on November 19, 1980.
What Makes the Berg Timer Values?
There are three ways a Berg Timer point can be made. First is when two planets are longitudinally equidistant from a third planet, making one BT point. Second is a pretty rare event when two pairs of planets each share the same distance apart. This is shown below when Mercury/Venus and Mars/Earth were both 43 degrees apart, another BT point. Third is when two planets are in the same degree of longitude, thus being the same distance away from all the other 7 planets, automatically making 7 BT points.
Interior Planets' Positions, June 23-25,
The Three Ways a Berg Timer Point Can Be Made
On June 23 Mercury was exactly at the midpoint of two other planets. Mercury was 47 degrees from both Venus and Earth. One BT point.
On June 25 Mercury was 43 degrees from Venus and Earth was also 43 degrees from Mars. Two separate pairs of planets an equal distance away. One point.
Not shown is the third way a BT point can be made. If two planets are in the same degree, they are each then automatically the same distance away from the seven other planets, making 7 BT points.
Then the points are simply added together for whatever time series desired. I typically use daily, monthly, and yearly BT in the correlation studies.
The history and development of the Berg Timer can be read in the site page http://www.justgoodtiming.com/id48.htm. Essentially it began with an interest and understanding of astrology way back in my 20's. My understanding of astrology was so thorough that I could often guess someone's sign just by observation. So I knew that there must be something to it and that a larger application for it in the world must exist. That started me along the long road of discovery.
There's really nothing like the feeling of discovering something no one has ever known before, especially since it might be a new law of physics. One of the most exciting discoveries I've made is when I compared the Berg Timer to moonquakes shown on Natural Disasters page. To then know that the physics represented by BT is truly universal sent shivers up my spine, and does again now as I'm writing this.
How the planets' positions can affect solar activity is not known. I'm not a physicist but I've done a lot of reading over the last 40 years. My best guess is that its an effect of the planets' positions on the interplanetary magnetic field. We will need space buoys throughout the solar system in order to measure its macro changes. That day will come.
In my early days in the 70's, with no computers, I drew out all the planetary cycle lines by hand. It took me about two days to do one year. Now with the computer I can calculate any year of the Berg Timer in about seven seconds. So I now have a library of BT from the years 300 to 2300.
What Is a Berg Timer Profile? --- The BT Sequence of the Great Sun/Earth Meteorological Cycle
Sometimes you can look at a chart comparison between the Berg Timer and solar flares, for instance, and quickly see how they most often occur just before and after strong BT. Some see it, some don't. So in order to provide an objective answer to that question I developed the Berg Timer Profile which shows exactly how something correlates with BT over a certain length of time.
BT profiles can be made for any time frame, usually daily, weekly, or monthly. The daily profiles show how often an indice, like flares for instance, occurred from a certain number of days before and after a Berg Timer day of '7' strength or higher. The same for weekly, monthly, and eventually yearly profiles to show longer term correlations.
To make the profile I developed a spreadsheet in which I input the daily values of the indice I want to correlate with BT. It then shows a charted profile of what the indice was doing on each of a certain number of days (usually 12 or 21 days) before and after BT >=7 strength. Right now I correlate 12 years of data from 2006 to 2017 to get the yearly profile of an indice's past behavior and, thus, expected future behavior.
So after I get the yearly profile I compare the actual 2018 and/or 2019 data to see if the actual data matches the 2006-17 profile. If it does match then I know it's a good profile and can reliably forecast that indice in the future. Then I can be confident that the indice's future behavior can reliably be forecasted using future BT.
Using profiles makes the analysis of an indice objective and provides empirical proof, or disproof, for a BT correlation. One can look at a charted comparison of BT and hurricanes for instance and see that hurricanes are most likely to develop just after a BT "7" day. Its profile provides an objective confirmation of that. Also, since BT "7 or more" days sometimes occur within 12 days of each other, the profile automatically integrates multiple BT days' effect which the eye cannot do.
Profiles don't always show a definite correlation. Some just wiggle up and down sideways and are not consistent over the years. In these cases the profile can't be of any practical value. Usually there's a third factor which is overriding the data. That necessitates an adjustment. For instance, when comparing BT to car accidents you have to account for the tendency for higher accidents to occur on holidays and weekends before the data can be profiled. Seasonal effects have to be determined on some weather indices like temperature. For temperature, daily normals are used determine the 'departures from normal' to make a temperature profile.
The BT Sequence charts below, due to similarities impossible by chance and which are consistent with scientific research, prove that the Berg Timer represents a major cause or at least influence of changes in solar activity and Earth atmosphere, land, and oceans. Specifically, the Great Cycle includes but is not limited to Solar Activity, Solar Flares, Solar Flux, Cosmic Rays, Solar Irradiance, Atmospheric Angular Momentum, Precipitation, Temperature, Sea Ice, and Tornadoes.
The sequence of BT's effect from Sun to the Earth's surface involves a number of indices which have been well measured by today's satellite and surface instruments. It involves several areas of professional understanding of which I have made a good effort to learn. What we all want to do is to understand the mechanics of the transmission of solar activity through the Earth's atmosphere to the land and oceans. Solar activity's effect on Earth rotation via atmospheric, oceanic, and hydrological angular momentum and polar motion is also involved.
This evidence proves that the Berg Timer is able to forecast all of these Sun to Earth indices, which essentially means that the Berg Timer is causally connected to the sequence of the Sun/Earth Cycle. The Berg Timer/Sun/Earth correlation is real.
The following sequence begins with the Berg Timer's correlation to the Sun. Each subsequent indicator is then presented in a logical and scientifically consistent correlation to the Berg Timer. Its goal was to discover and prove that BT is not only causally connected to the first effect, the sun, but also to all further indices involved in the Sun/Earth Cycle. It was a great experience. I literally had to learn about each aspect of it from scratch. Solar/Cosmic Radiation, Atmospheric Science, Oceanography, Meteorology. It took what seems like forever but it was a great education and a thrill to discover the correlations between the Berg Timer and our universal environment.
More research will soon be published on this website showing BT's effect on Mercury's, Venus', Moon's, and Mars' atmospheric and geological indices.
The Berg Timer's effect on the sun and revolving bodies is new astro, solar, planetary, and atmospheric physics. These discoveries will revolutionize current scientific understanding, and motivate physicists to find out why BT works.
I welcome feedback as to some of the conclusions I've made but I've tried to follow today's thinking of the specialists and have taken great pains to use the most complete data in each field of study. So it goes, from the Berg Timer to solar physics, to radiation, to magnetic fields, to Earth rotation rate, to atmospheric science, to meteorology, to oceanography, to geophysics, to geology, to the biosphere, to all of us, to the other planets, everything. It's been a lot of hard work. The 1932 Harper's Monthly published a quote from Albert Einstein to the effect saying that research boils down to 1% inspiration and 99% perspiration. So true.
~ This Sequence Explains and Demonstrates the Berg Timer's Connection To
the Great Sun/Earth Meteorological Cycle ~
~ SUNSPOTS ~
What a wonderfully symmetrical profile!
Nature's a beautiful thing. The profile of
the first cause appropriately flying like an eagle.
The Sun-Earth effect begins here.
The Berg Timer's correlation to solar activity has unleashed a torrent of evidence for this
new law of physics.
Sunspots are areas on the sun which usually have opposite magnetic polarity and cooler temperature. There are fewest sunspots occurring exactly at day '0', when BT is at its strongest, what I call,
'at the beak'.
~ SUNSPOTS ~
Below is the latest Sunspot Profile, extended out to 24 days on both sides. It provides an even more interesting look at the symmetry of the Eagle's wings and a longer-term forecasting tool for the solar scientists.
~ SOLAR FLARES ~
Solar flares often coincide with sunspots. Flares bottom with sunspots at day "0" when BT >= 7.
The physics of the planetary positions' effect is not known. I believe it to be an effect of the planetary positions, as represented by the Berg Timer, on the solar system's interplanetary magnetic field.
What a big surge of activity after '0' day!
~ SOLAR FLUX ~
Solar flux is radio emission from the sun. It originates high in the sun's chromosphere.
It bottoms exactly at the eagle's beak when solar activity is lowest.
"The solar radio flux at 10.7 cm is an excellent indicator of solar activity. It is one of the longest running records of solar activity . . . it correlates well with the sunspot number as well as a number of UltraViolet (UV), ozone, and solar irradiance emissions that impact the (Earth) ionosphere and stratosphere." From link below.
~ SOLAR IRRADIANCE satellite ~
Solar irradiance is one of the most fundamental drivers of Earth weather and long-term climate.
Satellites provide the most accurate solar irradiance data.
This data is from the VIRGO/SOHO mission and the Physical-Meteorological Observatory Davos/World Radiation Center.
Again, exactly 'at the beak'.
~ SOLAR IRRADIANCE ground ~
This chart shows total sunshine received at ground level. At day '0' to day '2' sky is least clear. Clouds are blocking the sun's radiation. So not only is there less sunshine then (4 above) but there is also more cloud cover generated by the ionized atmosphere.
More on Irradiance at the links below.
Long-Term Cosmic Rays and Cloud Cover
The chart above is evidence supporting correlation between cosmic rays and clouding.
~ COSMIC RAYS ~
Electrons and Protons
Low solar activity weakens Earth's magnetic field. The weak field lets in cosmic ray particles, mostly protons and electrons.
When the protons and electrons enter the atmosphere they slam into other particles. They lose an electron and become charged ionized particles.
Water vapor attaches itself to the ionized particles, a process called nucleation which eventually forms clouds.
So, when BT is strong, solar activity becomes low, Earth's magnetic field becomes weak allowing the particles in.
Which ion is most responsible for nucleation, protons or electrons?
The responsible ion's count must be high at day '0' when all this is happening.
To the left is charted proton and electron flux with respect to high Berg Timer at day '0'.
Protons bottom at day '1' right after day '0'.
Electrons show a very high strength around day '0'. So it's highly likely that electrons are the nucleating agent leading to cloud formation.
So, strong BT = low solar activity = high electrons = high cloud production.
electron and proton data:
then click on the DPD files.
The AAM indice is defined as the ratio of East-West vs. North-South winds on Earth.
The atmosphere accounts for 80-90% of the total angular momentum of Earth. The oceans and solid body of Earth account for the other 10-20%.
~ ATMOSPHERIC ANGULAR MOMENTUM ~
This is a very strong profile, peaking at 'the Eagle's beak'.
Planetary positions as represented by the Berg Timer are causing the atmosphere and wind changes defined by AAM. This is why BT is so accurate at forecasting El Nino
The article below describes what scientists call the 30-60 day "flip-flop oscillation" of our equator to pole atmospheric circulation as "not well understood" and that "the mechanism is unknown".
The Berg Timer is the "the unknown".
~ PRECIPITATION, COASTAL CITIES ~
Ocean and coasts' weather have higher precipitation when BT is strong.
So, this 'peaks at the beak'.
The profiles are quite striking in their proportional structure and all world locations' similarity.
These things aren't occurring by chance.
Strong Berg Timer = low solar activity = high cosmic ray particles entering Earth's atmosphere = high cloud formation = high ocean precipitation.
~ OCEAN PRECIPITATION ~
Ocean precipitation peaks at "0" with the Eagle's wings widespread.
Ocean and land precipitation are opposite. See No.10 next.
~ DAILY PRECIPITATION of INLAND CITIES ~
The low of 214 U.S. cities' precipitation occurs exactly at day '0' when BT is strongest.
Land precipitation occurs inversely to ocean precipitation shown in No.'s 8 and 9 above.
This is confirmed by the Land/Ocean chart (left) showing long-term Land and Ocean precipitation moving oppositely. Data source for the chart is NOAA's Global Precipitation Climatology Project.
Being able to forecast rain is one of the first and most valuable discoveries my work has produced. I remember in the early 1980's, in my 30's in the Midwest, watching the rain come and go with the Berg Timer. It was then that I knew it worked with the weather.
The Great Plains are certainly 'great' for weather watching. It gets most all the fronts that move out of the Rockies and up from the Gulf.
The U.S. Precipitation profile data source, Frontier weather, prides itself on the accuracy and completeness of its data.
~ GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT ~
These are the first Monthly BT Profiles ever produced! It's exciting to move up to longer-term BT profiles, giving us a new perspective on world weather.
The Berg Timer is able to forecast the long term up's and down's of sea ice because it's so good at forecasting longer-term weather.
This 25 year study found that both hemispheres' sea ice peaks within a month of strong monthly BT, with trends lasting up to a year. This is consistent with the 1700 year study on the webpage above which found that strong BT correlates with temperature lows.
Long term sea ice peaks and temperatures are low when BT is strong. We'll go on to create monthly profiles for other Sequence indices to better understand BT's effect on weather.
Nice confirmation from the past.
~ TORNADOES ~
Tornadoes are most often the result of strong low pressure fronts that move out of the Rocky Mountains into middle America, pulling up warm air from the south which combines with the cool northern air to form strong updrafting tornadoes in the area known as 'tornado alley'.
The twister profile 'peaks at the beak'.
Left, the evolution of a single tornado on May 24, 2016 in Kansas.
Thus the BT Sequence demonstrates that the Berg Timer is able to discover and thereby explain and empirically prove the causal connections of the Great Sun/Earth Meteorological Cycle . . . that being strong BT = low solar activity, thus high cosmic ray particles penetrating Earth's atmosphere, causing cloud formation, higher tornado activity, higher precipitation, and increased ice accumulation.
Solar Flares and the Berg Timer
Being able to forecast solar activity is the cornerstone of BT's capabilities since solar activity is the 'first cause' of Earth's atmospheric circulation and weather. Above is a chart of BT (inverted) and solar flares for 2016-17. Solar activity increases just before and after strong BT, just like the Solar Flare Profile shown in the Sun/Earth Sequence earlier on this page.
Solar forecasting is becoming more and more important for our space and electrical power industry. Knowing when solar activity will occur helps us prepare for powerline surges, radiation danger to astronauts and pilots, and damage to satellites. Sunspots and flares occur just before and after strong Berg Timer days. Some see it, some don't. That's why I think the profiles are so great because the profile makes it objectively easy to sea. Flares bottom when BT is strong, like the 'Eagle' Sunspot profile.
Precipitation and extreme weather is obviously a factor in airline delays and it's confirmed below with the chart of airline late arrivals compared to BT. This is featured in the Forecasting Service page which provides the Airline Delay profile enabling you to plan air travel with less possibility of delays. High BT, high precipitation, just as shown in the BT land precipitation profile in The Sequence earlier on this page.
BT above is compared to the daily precipitation total of 45 geographically representative U.S. cities and percent of daily United Airlines flights that were "Late" (divided by 2 for charting purposes). Precipitation occurs exactly during strong BT or just before and after strong BT days. So it's not surprising to see an increase in late arrivals around high BT.
Travel delays can be avoided by using BT to plan travel. Air travel within a week of BT value "7" or higher has a high probability of delay. Ground travelers and outside event planners should consult the Forecasting Page for precise forecast for your area. Accurate weather forecasting is available by finding the profile for your area on the Forecasting Service page and comparing it to the BT Table there.
The Tornado/BT chart below for 2016 shows that tornadoes are most likely when BT is strong and peaking, like the Tornado Profile in the Sequence Charts. That huge BT day in August was the strongest since 1988. This is when Louisiana suffered an historic flood disaster much like the Great Flood of 1927 which also occurred during a very strong BT period.
See below that earthquakes are most likely 8 days before and 6 days after BT >=5 strength (day "0").
The Italy 6.2 and Burma 6.8 quakes on Aug 25, 2016 occurred exactly during the profile's high day (-8).
Then again two more quakes, 5.5 and 6.1 hit Italy on October 27, again, 8 days before "0".
Below is the profile of Atlantic Hurricanes. This can greatly improve Caribbean planning for travel, cruises, and shipping in the Caribbean. This correlation was published here in 2008. This new profile confirms it.
The best times for travel to avoid hurricanes in the Atlantic and Carribean would be starting 7 days prior to a BT "0" day, when BT is '7' strength or higher. At that time you would be able to have a good 8-10 days with a low probability for hurricanes, or at least not getting a hurricane's highest wind. See how this profile would have kept you away from Hurricane Matthew in 2016.
This is a great tool for travel agencies or something to refer to in planning your vacation or outside events. You can use this with the Airline Delays profile and be even more confident in your vacation timing.
HURRICANE MATTHEW, 2016
Matthew was a natural progression of strength caused by the Berg Timer. It peaked in strength just one day before the profile forecast.
It caused hundreds of deaths in Haiti and much damage throughout the Bahamas and the eastern coast of Florida. South Carolina had massive flooding. BT proves itself to be a reliable forecasting tool.
Geomagnetism and Hemispheric Electrification
Electrical storms energize Earth's atmosphere. This electrical power is monitored by the NOAA POES satellites. Geomagnetism and Hemispheric Gigawatts can now be forecasted by using these BT profiles. It's a valuable tool for both space and ground electronic engineers and planners. In most every profile of any subject you can see the symmetry from the center to either side, like an eagle in flight.
The Yearly Berg Timer
Low periods in BT are indicative of drought in the United States and lows in the world economy. High periods indicate low seismic activity, strong world stock markets, and high precipitation. See the high peaking BT of 2018, the time of a record high stock market. There should be a market decline in 2019 then a rally into a 2020-2021 peak. See updated stock market discussion here.
below written/published April 2008 ---
Note that as of this writing, BT shows that the economy will bottom during the first year of our new next president (2009). Then the economy will improve for the next year (2010), then a decline for at least the next couple years of the new president (2011, 2012). So our next president may well end his/her presidency at an economic low and be blamed for the very bad economic situation.
The government really has little control over the economy. It all depends on the weather and how people behave. One president or one congress does not have the means to control that factor. The economy should be a major sour point for the president who is in office in 2009-2012. But, the president elected in 2012 will see the economy strengthen in 2015, the third year of his/her first/second term. So it goes. If the president elected in 2012 is a first term president, he/she will be re-elected due to a strong economy at the time of re-election in 2016.
The following written/published July 2012 ---
The Berg Timer's Long-Term Forecast correctly forecasted 2012's low precipitation, high temperatures, low interest rates, La Nina, weak economy, and weak stock market.
Hang on, this trend is not substantially broken until 2015. The BT forecast has been published on the home page since 2001.
Notice, in the above chart, the strong up BT cycle during the Clinton administration of 1993 through 2000, thus President Clinton's economic success due to the natural cycles. Notice in the chart below the very strong BT during Ronald Reagan's 1981-1988, thus helping him to succeed. Then note the low BT as G.W. Bush was finishing his second term in 2008-9. Thus the economic disaster inherited by President Obama, and for which he is semi-succeeding in blaming G.W. Bush. Then note the bottoming of BT in 2011-12, thus the difficulty President Obama is having with the current economy.
The next president will enjoy the favor of presiding over the economic recovery of 2015.
If President Obama wins in November, he will take credit for the 2015 recovery. If Governor Romney wins, the economic recovery of 2015 will result in a second term for President Romney.
If there were anything the current president could have done to stimulate the economy, don't you think he would have done it by now? He tried with the stimulus but failed.
So, to put it all in perspective, except for making some changes in domestic and foreign policies, it's an illusion to think that there is anything a president, dictator, congress, parliament, union, or federal reserve can do to alter the world economic and climatic changes accurately forecasted by the Berg Timer cycle.
See below the similarity between the Berg Timer during the Dustbowl 1930's and the 2020's. Thus the forecast for another drought during the 2020's.
This drought forecast was first published July 2012.
On the current political side, BT hits highs in 2016 and 2018, and so does the economy strengthen and presidential (Trump) approval grow. All because of a strong Berg Timer. There's a dip down of BT in 2019, after the 2018 mid-term elections, so politics should not be affected. Then BT is strong into 2020 and 2021 so it should be a continued strong, but peaking, economy and a second term for President Trump.
After 2021 it all falls down until 2028. So during the sliding BT we will have warming temperatures, low precipitation, a weak economy, La Nina (cooling of East Pacific waters), and strong quakes likely. The long ago forecasted 2020's drought is on our doorstep. Farming, water, and hydroelectric power concerns, prepare for the worst. Hope for the best.
See pages devoted to each subject at the top of this page for more detailed information and forecasts.
The Strongest Two-Day Berg Timer in 1400 years
April 14 and 15 of 1982 together total a huge BT strength of "31".
Just what happened on April 14-15 of 1982?
1982 - A Turning Point of Weather History
The number of hurricanes, like monthly temperature, bottomed in 1982.
In July of 1982, major solar flares caused what was termed 'an unusual' and 'interesting' solar-terrestrial event. It's detailed in the paper, "Structure of the July 1982 Event In Relation To the Magnetosphere's Response", published here at harvard.edu.
In those two days the planets were in a highly symmetrical position never before seen in at least the last 1400 years. Is it a coincidence that it marked the time of the greatest El Nino in recorded history? Or the lowest number of hurricanes in 64 years? Or the beginning of the Modern Warming Period? It's not a coincidence. These things were caused by the symmetry of planetary positions as recorded by the Berg Timer. Solar activity, weather, the oceans . . . Earth responds to planetary symmetries as documented throughout this website.
Below is the configuration of this historic planetary alignment, the strongest example yet of the Berg Timer's effect on our environment.
What Symmetry! Quite the "" formation.
There are a couple theories out there to describe what's going on here to explain why the Berg Timer works. The best I think is the electromagnetic one, equating the solar system to a generator.
It's probably new physics. Or maybe just take away Pluto and you have Grandad's old V-8 motor.
The Relative Planetary Positions
All planets except Mercury were within 67 degrees of each other.
Earth and Pluto were conjunct, in the same degree of longitude with respect to the Sun. So Earth and Pluto were equal degrees away from the other 7 planets.
Mars and Saturn were also conjunct three days later.
These are the other multiple equal degree separations that occurred:
Venus was 7 degrees away from Neptune
Earth was 7 degrees from Saturn
Saturn was 7 degrees from Pluto
Earth was 8 degrees from both Mars and Jupiter
Mars was 8 degrees from Pluto
Venus was 16 degrees from Uranus
Jupiter was 16 degrees from Saturn
Mercury was equidistant from two or more planets fourteen times during its 10 degree movement from April 14 to 15.
The planets act as a pendulum falling, their movement carving out the curvature of space-time.
" . . . the similarity between an electric generator with its carefully placed magnets and the sun with its ever-changing planets is intriguing. In the generator, the magnets are fixed and produce a constant electrical current. If we consider that the planets are magnets and the sun is the armature, we have a considerable similarity to the generator. However, in this case, the magnets are moving. For this reason, the electrical-magnetic stability of the solar system varies widely. This is what one would expect."
- John H. Nelson, RCA Communications. Cosmic Patterns. 1974.
When you add all of these motions together: the Earth spinning, the Earth revolving around the Sun, the Sun moving around the galaxy, the Milky Way headed towards Andromeda, and the local group being attracted to the overdense regions and repulsed by the underdense ones, we can get a number for how fast we're actually moving through the Universe at any given instant. We find that the total motion of our galaxy comes out to about 229 miles per second in a particular direction.
Although the Sun orbits within the plane of the Milky Way some 25,000-27,000 light years from the center, the orbital directions of the planets in our Solar System do not align with the galaxy at all. Our solar system is moving through space at about 43,496 miles per hour.
And our hair doesn't even get messed up and we don't have to roll up the windows.
Data Sources ---
Finding the best data for my research is half of the work. I always strive to find the best data sources available for my analyses but I can't guarantee the accuracy or reliability of the following sources. Thanks for visiting and good reading!
New York Burglaries: