Whole Earth Forecaster ™ © 2020 WEF
What Is The Berg Timer . . .
It's the clock of a planet's journey, and a volcano's fury.
All Nature's rhythm, inspiration given.
Man's precision from His vision.
When everything happens.
A gift of the heavens.
Two in a row . . . BT correctly forecasted hurricanes Barry and Dorian
11/14/2018 --- DROUGHT - Massive, deadly, historic California fires a part of the long ago forecasted drought for the 2020's. Droughts typically creep up on you over several years. Then all of a sudden it's a major drought like the dustbowl 1930's. See current U.S. Drought Chart.
11/20 --- CALIFORNIA PRECIP - BT profile for N. California peaks this Fri/Sat Nov. 23-24, correctly forecasting the 1-7 inch total precip expected for that area. Good job BT.
11/26 --- AIRLINE DELAY - The profile for Travel Delays peaked on day -4 which was on Sunday, November 25. Here a quote from ABC News: "Travelers going in and out of some Midwestern cities this Sunday are experiencing flight delays and cancellations on one of the busiest travel days of the year, with 15 states under a weather alert due to winter storm and blizzard warnings.".
Thousands could have avoided that delay by taking just five minutes to check here before planning their travel dates.
12/2 --- OCEAN CURRENTS - Getting close to finishing ocean study. As one might expect, it's complicated. But it's also very simple. Briefly, the BT cycle (the "eagle" formation) shows up everywhere. The only places where ocean height doesn't cycle with BT are the coastal areas where the five major currents of the world (N & S Atlantic, N & S Pacific, Indian ocean currents) hit the continents Charts to come.
12/10 --- WINTER STORM - BT correctly forecasts this major winter storm causing widespread airline delays. See Airline Delays profile details here which peaked twice on the day of Sunday's blizzard, a very rare BT event. As reported by USA Today, "American Airlines said it has proactively canceled 1,100 Sunday flights because of the storm. That is on top of 225 cancellations on Saturday.
The cancellations are now expected to spill into Monday, with American saying late Saturday that 300 Monday flights have been canceled." Power outages to over 160,000 in the Carolinas.
12/11 --- MERCURY DEW PT. - I reported long ago how BT can forecast Mars wind speed and Moonquakes. Now I've found correlations to Mercury's Dew Point and H20 Partial Pressure. Charts soon. I've got my hands full of so much good research. Like I've always said, researching the Berg Timer is like having a tiger by the tail.
12/13 --- OCEAN HEIGHT - Finding that the oceans rise and fall in a 25-day rhythm according to the Berg Timer. There are lots of studies finding a 50-day rhythm which might simply be an extension of a 25-day rhythm (D. Djurovic, P. Paquet 1991 Royal Meteorological Society and The "Madden and Julian Oscillation" 1971 widely referenced). However a 25-day rhythm has been found (Bizouaid and L. Seoane Atmospheric and Oceanic Forcing 2009). Looks like climate modelers have found the BT rhythm by going in the back door but they still don't know the 'why' or when these cycles are going to appear. The cause and the 'when' is planetary positions, a.k.a. the Berg Timer.
12/25 --- U.S. PRECIPITATION map charts now available, historical and forecasts. See here.
1/11/2019 --- I have several things still on the burner. Ocean study including height/temperature/speed/direction correlations. Atmospheric angular momentum. Also the Planet Mercury's dew point . . . good to know if we need to equip a Lander with windshield wipers, seriously.
2/16 --- LONG TERM TEMP - I'm calculating BT back to year 1000 to confirm a newly discovered BT/long term temperature correlation. Very exciting!
2/22 --- LONG TERM TEMP - BT from year 300 published today. Highest two BT peaks at beginning of Medeival Warm Period and Modern Warm Period. Link directly below to download yearly Berg Timer values from 300 to 2200 AD (Excel file).
3/2 --- MONTHLY BT values from 1900 to 2050 link below. Monthly BT on this website proven to be a good indicator for commodities, arctic ice, world cloudiness, temperature and wind speed, homocides, earthquakes, volcanoes, ozone, and monsoon.
3/17 --- U.S. TEMP UPDATED - Went over the whole website today and updated some of the charts if data available and also checked out some links and improved them if possible if the old one was inactive. Yearly U.S. temperature was updated.
4/13 --- BT UPDATE - The daily Berg Timer numbers through July 2019 are now available on the Forecasting Page. Also available there are the Profile Numbers to find out the probable airline travel delay days for your Spring-Summer travel. It really works!
4/16 --- Introducing MONTHLY Berg Timer Profiles! The first long term studies using monthly profiles has been finished on Global Sea Ice Extents. 'sea' below. It confirms the 1700 year temperature study shown directly below.
4/27 --- GLOBAL TEMPERATURE - 11:45 AM. Discovery! After making monthly profiles of global land and ocean temperature I find that the temperature profiles for North Hemisphere Land and South Hemisphere Sea correlate almost perfectly. And, vice versa, that North Ocean and South Land are also the same. Go figure. What an interesting correlation. Study length from 1968 to 2007. Data sources for land and sea are different which might add to its credibility. Sources http://berkeleyearth.org/data/ for land temperature and https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/ for sea surface temperature. Will put up charts asap. The new monthly profiles will lead to many new long term correlations/forecasting for BT. Then we'll do yearly profiles to consolidate BT's daily, monthly, and yearly capabilities. Finally putting it all together after 40 years of work.
4/29 --- GLOBAL TEMP PROFILES - Above are the previously mentioned correlations between N&S Hemispheres Land and Ocean Temperatures. Why the North-Land/South Ocean and North-Ocean/South Land correlation? One can only conclude that the larger areas prevail. The north land area is larger than the north ocean and the south oceans' area is larger than the south lands. So the two larger areas, the north lands and the south oceans hook up with the lesser areas. I've never heard or read of this correlation before. Of course, there may be an oceanographer who knows immediately how to explain this, maybe not. Maybe it's entirely new.
5/7 --- HURRICANE PROFILE - Finally I've created a profile for hurricanes. All Atlantic hurricanes from 2006 through 2017 were logged with their date and wind speeds. Then this data was correlated with respect to daily Berg Timer. That produced the BT Hurricane Profiles below which show the best and worst times to be in the Caribbean during hurricane season.
Atlantic Hurricanes during 2006 to 2017
The hurricane study done in 2004 is still published on the Natural Disasters page. That covered the period of 1999 to 2004.
It found that hurricanes started forming when the Berg Timer was '5' strength or more and that their maximum wind strength occurred within 8 days after that.
Those findings hold up with the new profiles.
The likelihood of hurricanes is least in the week before day '0', when BT >= 7 strength, and the likelihood greatest during the 8 days after '0'. The same goes for wind speed.
5/12 --- COSMIC RAYS Correction . . . The satellite was changed for the Cosmic Ray historical data causing a column change in the data. So the Electron data was incorrectly displayed as Neutron data. Thus, the corrected chart and info is below in The Sequence No. 6.
5/17 --- WILD & CRAZY - There are 4 days with Berg Timer strength of '7' or higher in the first nine days of June. Should be a wild and crazy period from the last week of May through the first couple weeks of June. June 7 is an especially strong '14' strength. Drive carefully.
6/2 --- Hang in there. Only a couple weeks left of this especially messy and dangerous weather. Precip weather map forecasts updated to July 1.
6/4 --- BT UPDATE & HURRICANE FORECAST - The Berg Timer has been updated through September 2019. BT is greater than '6' strength on August 11, 21, 27 and September 8. So that's when Atlantic hurricanes are most likely to start development as tropical depressions. They typically attain maximum wind speed about 8 days later in each instance. So if planning a trip to the Caribbean your best luck for good weather is the week before each of those strong BT days. You can see this charted with the new profile above in entry of 5/7. Also, every hurricane's wind speed relative to BT was charted from 2000-04 in my early research on this subject. For that click here BT and Atlantic Hurricanes.
6/15 --- HURRICANE FORECASTS COMBINED - I thought it might be interesting to create a total hurricane wind speed forecast chart. To do that we combine the expected hurricanes' wind speeds based on the Hurricane Wind Speed Profile shown above in 5/7. It's based on the four hurricane dates of Aug 11, 21, 27 and Sept 8. September BT is very weak after the Sept 8. Middle of August to the first week in Sept is the time of greatest probability of hurricane damage.
Addendum --- 9/15 The underlined forecast just above correctly forecasted hurricane Dorian's tragedy. Also see here how the rare July hurricane Barry was correctly forecasted.
6/16 --- DISCOVERY! MONTHLY GEOMAGNETISM PEAKS WITH STRONG BT - Short term Earth magnetic field fluctuations are caused by solar activity/Earth interaction. Below is monthly Berg Timer and geomagnetism from 1968 to 2011. Geomagnetism most often peaks when BT peaks. It also shows a longer-term correlation . . . geomagnetism moves down from 2004 to 2011 the same as the fading downward movement of a weak BT. Yearly BT and yearly geomagnetism chart coming soon.
Magnetic storms are monitored by NOAA in order to warn of possible power surges or disruption in power lines, radio, satellite, telephone, and military early warning/detection/navigation, induced currents in pipelines, and radiation on aircraft and astronauts. Not to mention orientation of whales, birds, bees, and even movement of microscopic bacteria. Geologic surveyors actually look forward to these magnetic storms in order to better sense subsurface oil and mineral structures.
BT forecasts would be a good thing to know in order to be prepared for these storms.
Below left monthly Geomagnetism and Sunspots peak at -2 to 1 month when monthly BT is strongest.
Below right daily Geomagnetism makes a rolling peak at -2 to 0 when daily BT is strongest.
The Berg Timer and the Solar Storm of August 1972
The powerful solar storms of early August 1972 were intense solar flares and particle events with major geomagnetic storms.
Flares were first reported August 2. Radio and satellite blackouts started immediately.
An August 4 flare was among the largest documented in history generating X-ray emissions above background level for more than 16 hours.
The geomagnetic storm caused widespread electrical grid and satellite disturbances throughout Canada and North America, the Phillipines, Brazil, and Japan. As many as 4,000 naval mines exploded in Haiphong Vietnam.
Navy investigators at the NOAA Space Environment Center confirmed that the geomagnetic intensity was enough to cause such explosions.
Regardless of location, some astronauts without complete shielding or moonwalkers would have faced certain death due to the radiation, cancer being unavoidable.
7/4 --- YEARLY BT/GEOMAGNETISM CONFIRMS MONTHLY and DAILY - The 6/16 entry demonstrated how monthly Berg Timer shared peaks and bottoms with geomagnetism. Below is yearly BT and geomagnetism.
7/23 --- GOOD JOB BT FORECASTING A RARE JULY HURRICANE!
On July 8 the Berg Timer hits a very strong '12' strength.
On July 9 the system developed a broad area of low pressure over the eastern Florida Panhandle. A day later, on July 10, the broad low-pressure system emerged from the Florida Panhandle into Apalachee Bay in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico.
On July 11 NHC reports "the NHC upgraded the system to Tropical Storm Barry at 15:00 UTC on July 11".
On July 13 NHC reports "Barry became a hurricane around 11-12Z", making landfall later that day.
On July 14 Barry progressed farther inland weakening into a tropical depression at 21:00 UTC on July 14 over northwestern Louisiana.
As discussed above in 6/4 hurricanes typically start to develop as tropical cyclones/depressions on high BT days. Then they reach highest wind speed about 8 days later. Barry reached peak strength on July 13, five days after strong BT.
BT was also correct in its forecast for rainfall in the gulf area states with its precipitation maps.
Precipitation maps have now been added up through August 14 on the maps page.
8/18 --- UPDATED CALIFORNIA QUAKE PROFILE This new daily profile has been extended to 17 days before and after strong BT, when BT > 6 strength. Most important days to watch out for quake likelihood are 7 to 8 days before and 12 days after strong BT, day '0'.
8/30 --- HURRICANE UPDATE. Appears that BT helped me make the following on-the-mark hurricane forecast on 6/15 above which was, "Middle of August to the first week in Sept is the time of greatest probability of hurricane damage.".
A quiet period expected from September 17 to October 2.
9/12 --- DATA SOURCES UPDATED & ADDED. Government and academic science data pages come and go as programs end and begin. So I've updated and added to the Data Sources at the bottom of this page. Seeing some new data on the interplanetary magnetic field, moonquakes/marsquakes/earthquakes, traffic accidents, and crime. Calls for some new work.
9/28 --- GLOBAL TEMPERATURE IS PEAKING NOW. A Berg Timer pattern has been found which gives us good reason to expect a major peak of global temperature in 2020 with a bottom in the mid to late 2060's. See explanation and 1400 year study directly below. El Nino correlation updated. Late season tropical depression formation possible late October and mid November with max winds, as always. 8 days later.
Below are links to Excel files listing Monthly and Yearly BT values.
September 28, 2019
Berg Timer Says Major Temperature Peak in 2020!
Bottom mid to late 2060's
Strong yearly Berg Timer marks significant lows in temperature. The two strongest BT years of 949 and 1982 are major temperature lows, 949 being the beginning of the Medieval Warming Period and 1982 the low of the beginning of the longest upward trend of the current Modern Warm Period.
Note also the absence of strong BT from 1520 to the late 1700's called "The Little Ice Age". This low BT period also coincides with the famous Maunder Minimum when almost no sunspots occurred and during which the world was colder than any other 1400 year period. This cold period ended precisely with the third strongest BT in 1845, the absolute lowest temperature in 1400 years and the beginning of the Industrial Revolution and the Modern Warm Period.
We are now .3 tenths of a degree °C warmer than the previous highest temperature in the year 970.
Below is Global Temperature and Berg Timer from 1820 to 2020. Note the two periods of the Berg Timer that are very similar. The earlier period made a 31 year peak in 1881. The current pattern ends right now in 2020 which should be a peak in global temperature lasting about 40 years.
10/13 --- PRECIPITATION TO OCT 31. It's been relatively calm weather with no threatening hurricanes since mid-September as BT forecasted. Strong BT coming up so weather should be likely starting about October 20. The maps are full of rain areas from then until late November. Calm from late November to mid-December.
LATE SEASON HURRICANE POSSIBLE - Hurricanes begin during the season within a couple days of BT hitting '5' or more in strength, that being a tropical depression. Then highest winds within 8 days of that. Late October and mid-November are bringing strong BT which could whip up a couple late-season hurricanes.
If a hurricane forms it has the possibility of developing into a good-sized hurricane. Maximum winds would be expected within 8 days (which is always the rule).
11/11 --- CALIFORNIA QUAKES >4.9 IN 2019 - So far in 2019 there have been six earthquakes at or greater than 5.0 occurring in California, one on July 4 and July 5, three on July 6 and one on August 22. All the July quakes occurred within two days of the peak in the Cal quake profile with three exactly on the July 6 profile peak, including a 7.1 strength. The BT profile for California successfully and quite accurately forecasted the high probability for strong quakes in July of 2019.
The first two earthquakes occurred in Searles Valley near the edge of Death Valley National Park. The strongest one on the 6th occurred during the Ridgecrest Earthquake Sequence that started with the 6.4 quake on July 4 with more than 100,000 aftershocks rattling most of Southern California. There were eight events greater than 3.9. The last two on July 6 occurred along the Little Lake fault zone. Good forecasting job BT!
Future Cal Quake profile peaks can be monitored by using BT Data. Profile peaks occur 7 and 8 days before the daily Berg Timer hits a strength of '7' or more.
11/19 --- Happy 39th Birthday BT! You're workin' better than ever.
11/27 --- LARGE WINTER WEATHER SYSTEM FORECASTED BY BT. Snarled traffic, heavy snow, and strong winds gripped a large swath of the U.S. from California east to the upper Midwest during the days before Thanksgiving. Below are the BT forecasts showing strong Berg Timer for these areas and actual outcomes of precipitation for these days.
11/28 --- HAPPY THANKSGIVING! MY GIFT TO YOU . . . HOW TO MAKE YOUR OWN BT PRECIPITATION MAP.
If you want to find out if your state has a high probability for precipitation on a particular future day you can refer to the BT Mapping Table on the map page. There you will find the directions for future precipitation mapping.
Looks like stormy weather will be moving into the Northwest on December 22. Then moving east into the upper Midwest by December 24-25, then fizzles out in the Northeast on the 27th. Then another system develops in Nebraska area and moves east covering the whole East Central area from north to south by year end. Slippery New Year there!
12/24 --- MERRY CHRISTMAS, HAPPY HANUKKAH, UNIFYING KWANZAA, and good wishes to all. Peace to all during this season and all seasons for everyone, all around this great big beautiful world.
1/1/2020 --- HAPPY NEW YEAR! May your new year be full of love, joy, and happiness.
1/2 --- AUSTRALIA BURNING AND INDONESIA FLODDING. 12 million acres burning, the size of Connecticut. 17 people have died. Looks like an obvious El Nino connection. I'll check it out. Berg Timer has a very strong connection to El Nino which has been updated and which can be seen here.
1/4 --- HAPPY BIRTHDAY TO ME, MY DAD, AND MY SON (within one hour of my birth time).
All natural births, second borns. One in 48,627,125 chance of that happening (365x365x365), not counting sex or birth order.
Just good timing.
1/10 --- TORNADOES ARE HIGHLY PROBABLE WHEN BT IS '7' STRENGTH OR MORE and also on the day before. The future days from Jan to March are Jan 8-9 and 18-19, Feb 14-15 and 20-21, Mar 6-7. No strong BT days in April.
*late note - Some very rare Winter tornadoes occurred January 10 and 11 of 2020 in the SE U.S.. Strong BT during these Winter days most often cause Winter Storms and Blizzards due to a downward plunge of the Jet Stream from Canada. During the Spring and Summer months these strong BT days result in Low Pressure fronts moving eastward out of the Rocky Mountains into the Midwest and then sometimes as far as the Deep South.
2/9 --- AUSTRALIA RAINFALL WILL INCREASE NOW TO 2022. It's estimated that fire has devastated at least 46 million acres in Australia this year with more than 2,600 homes and 6,000 buildings destroyed.
Below see the very weak BT in 2019 coinciding with the very low Australian precipitation. The same happened at least seven times since 1955. There's been sustained low BT since 1999 with equally low rainfall. This is evidence that the world has been in a continuing dry, warm period accelerated by yearly lows of BT (planetary symmetry) since 1999.
Hope is coming with strong BT forecasting higher rainfall this year through to 2022. As my major 1400 year study above in the 9/28 entry shows, we are now experiencing a major long term peak in global temperature. The decline of temperature should last until the 2060's.
2/19 --- SUPER TUESDAY, MARCH 3, WEATHER FORECAST. The Berg Timer precipitation forecast map for the big primary election day shows a high probability for stormy weather in and around almost all of the election states. Below is the map compared to the election states. The only election state that looks clear is Minnesota. Weather could definitely be a factor in voter turnout.
2/25 --- ELECTION DAY, NOVEMBER 3, 2020, WEATHER FORECAST COURTESY OF THE BERG TIMER.
You'll only find it here folks . . . an accurate U.S. weather forecast 8 months ahead of the presidential election. And what a valuable tool this can be. Campaigns can plan in advance to put extra assets and effort into getting out the vote in areas with severe weather. In this case the weather outlook for the whole country looks like it'll be a mess. So it'll be even more important than usual for the campaigns to prepare for bad weather. The worst areas should be from New Mexico spreading all the way to New York, and from S. California to Washington. The only areas that might be spared will be Colorado and South Carolina. But this weather forecast is so broad that it should be assumed to be affecting everywhere.
The campaigns that prepare for this mess might well mean the difference between victory and defeat.
3/15 --- INFLUENZA & PNEUMONIA DEATHS FORECASTED BY BERG TIMER. Seventeen years ago I did a study showing that weekly U.S. flu and pneumona deaths fluctuate positively with weekly BT. It's published on the Behavior Page. I'm working on a monthly and yearly analysis but as is the case with most indices, a positive correlation with daily or weekly BT usually is also positive with monthly and yearly time frames.
The coronavirus is hitting us now in 2020, a very strong BT year, the strongest yearly BT since 1982. So it proves another instance of BT's ability to forecast the natural cycles of our environment.
The weekly BT/Influenza and Pheumonia Deaths chart of 2002-2003, which is published on the Behavior Page, is repeated below.
3/23 --- CORONAVIRUS FORECAST --- IT MIGHT BE A LONG YEAR. As shown above, the weekly Berg Timer can forecast influenza with pretty good accuracy. Below is weekly BT's forecast for 2020. It had two strong peaks in Jan and Feb when the virus began. But those are nothing like the peaks coming up in May, July, August, and October 2020. The chart below is for historical purposes and does not include recent coronavirus data.
The extent and severity of this crisis I think all depends on how we respond to it. If we stay away from crowds, not spread it around any further, and keep our hands clean, we should be able to control it. But as BT is warning, the atmospherics are and will continue to be advantageous for the production of strong viral activity all year long.
Interesting article on the probability that the animal source of the coronavirus "could still be circulating in the animal population and might once again jump into humans.". The most likely source? bats. Nature Medicine, Scripps Research Institute, March 17 2020.
3/24/2020 --- A great graph below which is telling us that this is not over. It will not be over until New Cases start to decline, when 21 days ago area is darker than 7 days ago. I'll be watching this and reporting on it here.
See the next chart below compared to this one above. The U.S New Cases went from 1,000+ to 10,000+. Not good. And the states all became solidly in the 101-1,000 category. However, there is a potentially short-term positive reason for the increase in cases. We're testing more which will expose those who are contagious and ultimately, more quickly reduce future cases. I'll update this chart every Sunday. Over the long-term we're looking for the darkest areas to move from right to left in order to show improvement.
Center for Systems Science and Engineering at Johns Hopkins University, state and local health departments, and NPR
The Strongest Two-Day Berg Timer in 1400 years
April 14 and 15 of 1982 together total a huge BT strength of "31".
Just what happened on April 14-15 of 1982?
1982 - A Turning Point of Weather History
The number of hurricanes, like monthly temperature, bottomed in 1982.
In July of 1982, major solar flares caused what was termed 'an unusual' and 'interesting' solar-terrestrial event. It's detailed in the paper, "Structure of the July 1982 Event In Relation To the Magnetosphere's Response", published here at harvard.edu.
In those two days the planets were in a highly symmetrical position never before seen in at least the last 1400 years. Is it a coincidence that it marked the time of the greatest El Nino in recorded history? Or the lowest number of hurricanes in 64 years? Or the beginning of the Modern Warming Period? It's not a coincidence. These things were caused by the symmetry of planetary positions as recorded by the Berg Timer. Solar activity, weather, the oceans . . . Earth responds to planetary symmetries as documented throughout this website.
Below is the configuration of this historic planetary alignment, the strongest example yet of the Berg Timer's effect on our environment.
What Symmetry! Quite the "" formation.
There are a couple theories out there to describe what's going on here to explain why the Berg Timer works. The best I think is the electromagnetic one, equating the solar system to a generator.
It's probably new physics. Or maybe just take away Pluto and you have Grandad's old V-8 motor.
The Relative Planetary Positions
All planets except Mercury were within 67 degrees of each other.
Earth and Pluto were conjunct, in the same degree of longitude with respect to the Sun. So Earth and Pluto were equal degrees away from the other 7 planets.
Mars and Saturn were also conjunct three days later.
These are the other multiple equal degree separations that occurred:
Venus was 7 degrees away from Neptune
Earth was 7 degrees from Saturn
Saturn was 7 degrees from Pluto
Earth was 8 degrees from both Mars and Jupiter
Mars was 8 degrees from Pluto
Venus was 16 degrees from Uranus
Jupiter was 16 degrees from Saturn
Mercury was equidistant from two or more planets fourteen times during its 10 degree movement from April 14 to 15.
The planets act as a pendulum falling, their movement carving out the curvature of space-time.
" . . . the similarity between an electric generator with its carefully placed magnets and the sun with its ever-changing planets is intriguing. In the generator, the magnets are fixed and produce a constant electrical current. If we consider that the planets are magnets and the sun is the armature, we have a considerable similarity to the generator. However, in this case, the magnets are moving. For this reason, the electrical-magnetic stability of the solar system varies widely. This is what one would expect."
- John H. Nelson, RCA Communications. Cosmic Patterns. 1974.
When you add all of these motions together: the Earth spinning, the Earth revolving around the Sun, the Sun moving around the galaxy, the Milky Way headed towards Andromeda, and the local group being attracted to the overdense regions and repulsed by the underdense ones, we can get a number for how fast we're actually moving through the Universe at any given instant. We find that the total motion of our galaxy comes out to about 229 miles per second in a particular direction.
Although the Sun orbits within the plane of the Milky Way some 25,000-27,000 light years from the center, the orbital directions of the planets in our Solar System do not align with the galaxy at all. Our solar system is moving through space at about 43,496 miles per hour.
And our hair doesn't even get messed up and we don't have to roll up the windows.
Due to the evidence presented here, it can be concluded that the planets,
when in certain predictable heliocentric positions, as represented by the Berg Timer,
cause solar activity, affecting Earth's weather.
Thus BT can forecast not only weather but most all things affected by weather,
which is just about everything.
And God said, "Let there be lights in the firmament of the heavens to separate the day from the night; and let them be for signs and for seasons and for days and years". The Holy Bible, Genesis [1:14]
My aim is to say that the machinery of the heavens is not like a divine animal but like a clock and that in it almost all the variety of motions is from one very simple magnetic force acting on bodies, as in the clock all motions are from a very simple weight.
Johannes Kepler, Letter to J.G. Herwart von Hohenburg, 16 February 1605.
Kepler, astrologer and astronomer, worked from the carefully measured positions of the planets recorded by Tycho Brahe to mathematically deduce his three laws of planetary motion, enabling Isaac Newton to devise the law of gravitation.
The relationships set forth here imply that certain dynamic forces exerted on the sun by the motions of the planets are the cause of the sunspot activity.
Paul D. Jose, Aerospace Research, USAF. The Astronomical Journal, Vol. 70. April 1965.
It is found empirically that solar activity is preceded by planetary conjunctions. A long-range prediction technique has been in use for 2.5 years, which predicts flares and proton events months in advance.
J.B. Blizard, Denver University. American Physical Society Bulletin #13, June 1968.
In summation, after more than 25 years of research in this field of solar system science, I can say without equivocation that there is very strong evidence that the planets, when in certain predictable arrangements, do cause changes to take place in those solar radiations that control our ionosphere.
John H. Nelson, RCA Communications. Cosmic Patterns. 1974.
Mr. Nelson uses solar map to study sunspot activity. RCA Communications, June 1959
The words above were spoken or published by religious teachings and respected science journals and authors. Their work has been personified by the creation of the Berg Timer in 1980.
This body of work represents the bringing together of the wisdom of the ancient astrologers and the accuracy of today's astronomer to demonstrate that all of the universe's physical and biological paths are inextricably and importantly linked to the planets. From the ancient Aztec and Maya civilizations, the 13th Century's Ptolemy and Dante, and the Renaissance's Galileo, Kepler, and Brahe who overturned the old astrological order, to today's so technologically accurate astronomers. All share the common goals of truth and the value of scientific understanding.
FATHERS OF PHYSICS & ASTRONOMY
AD 100 - 168
1564 - 1642
1571 - 1630
SIR ISAAC NEWTON
1642 - 1726
1879 - 1955
. . . only
mathematics can provide sure and unshakable knowledge to its devotees, provided one
approaches it rigorously. For its kind of proof proceeds by indisputable methods, namely
arithmetic and geometry
In questions of science, the authority of a thousand is not worth the humble reasoning of a single individual.
I much prefer the sharpest criticism of a single intelligent man to the thoughtless approval of the masses.
The same thing is to be understood of all bodies, revolved in any orbits. They all endeavour to recede from the centres of their orbits, and were it not for the opposition of a contrary force which restrains them to and detains them in their orbits, which I therefore call Centripetal, would fly off in right lines with a uniform motion.
The grand aim of all science is to cover the greatest number of empirical facts by logical deduction from the smallest number of hypotheses or axioms.
Ptolemy's Almagest was an authoritative text on astronomy for more than a thousand years, and the Tetrabiblos, its companion volume, was influential in the study of the effects of astronomical cycles on earthly matters.
Galileo was one of the first modern thinkers to clearly state that the laws of nature are mathematical.
Planets move in ellipses with the Sun at one focus.
The radius vector describes equal areas in equal times.
The roads by which men arrive at their insights into celestial matters seem to me almost as worthy of wonder as those matters in themselves.
Just as the system of the sun, planets and comets is put in motion by the forces of gravity, and its parts persist in their motions, so the smaller systems of bodies also seem to be set in motion by other forces and their particles to be variously moved in relation to each other and, especially, by the electric force.
developer of the theory of relativity, one of the two pillars of modern physics (alongside quantum mechanics).
More Isaac Newton quotes . . .
The same law takes place in a system, consisting of many bodies, as in one single body, with regard to their persevering in their state of motion or of rest. For the progressive motion, whether of one single body or of a whole system of bodies, is always to be estimated from the motion of the center of gravity.
If the experiments which I urge be defective, it cannot be difficult to show the defects; but if valid, then by proving the theory, they must render all objections invalid.
It is indeed a matter of great difficulty to discover, and effectually to distinguish, the true motions of particular bodies from the apparent because the parts of that immovable space, in which those motions are performed, do by no means come under the observation of our senses.
More Albert Einstein quotes . . .
Any intelligent fool can make things bigger and more complex… It takes a touch of genius – and a lot of courage to move in the opposite direction.
Only one who devotes himself to a cause with his whole strength and soul can be a true master. For this reason mastery demands all of a person.
I am thankful for all of those who said NO to me. Its because of them I’m doing it myself.
It's not that I'm so smart, it's just that I stay with problems longer.
If you can't explain it simply, you don't understand it well enough.
It should be possible to explain the laws of physics to a barmaid.
There is no logical way to the discovery of these elemental laws. There is only the way of intuition, which is helped by a feeling for the order lying behind the appearance.
It gives me great pleasure indeed to see the stubbornness of an incorrigible nonconformist warmly acclaimed.
Science is a wonderful thing if one does not have to earn one's living at it.
God always takes the simplest way.
I think and think for months and years. Ninety-nine times, the conclusion is false. The hundredth time I am right.
You ask me if I keep a notebook to record my great ideas. I've only ever had one.
The early scientists, Ptolemy-Galileo-Kepler were all, at their roots, astrologers. They all knew and understood that both their environment and themselves were affected by the heavens. And they were astronomers. They knew that detail and strict rules of analysis and logic brought their theories home with facts. Their work ushered in, and laid the basis for, the science of astronomy.
God has given us the wonderful ability to understand the complex interrelationships between ourselves and Nature.
The Berg Timer was developed as a useful tool to better manage and enjoy His creation, our home.
Larry Berg, Discoverer of the Berg Timer on November 19, 1980.
Hi, my name is Larry Berg. Astrologer and astronomer, I am self funded and self taught in astrophysics, solar physics, meteorology, and the planetary sciences. I've created an indicator capable of forecasting most all things related to the cycles of the sun, the planets, the weather, the oceans, and the many idiosynchrasies that surround our lives.
This new empirical proof of the effect of planetary positions was first published as a periodic newsletter in the 1980's, then here on this website when the internet came along. My first works were discovering its ability to forecast weather, economics, and the stock market.
Its many applications on this website are now the result of over 40 years, and tens of thousands of hours of concentration, labor, sacrifice, data acquisition, analysis, frustration and discovery. It could not have been completed without the scientists, engineers, and researchers in all fields of study who are part of a vast network of technology and who make their data available for research.
Now in my mid-60's, my life's work is finding its fruition. The newly developed BT profiles are simplifying everything and objectively proving that the capability now exists to forecast solar activity, weather, crime and even traffic accidents. It's not only new physics but also just a simple forecasting tool that can make all our everyday lives better, The Berg Timer™.
Ever since I turned over my first rock as a child I've been fascinated by Nature. My passion has been the study of natural cycles, specifically, the relationship between planetary cycles, solar cycles, and the cycles of Earth's weather, biosphere, geology, and even human behavior.
It's to everyone's benefit to have a good understanding of the future. Whether it's weather, sales, politics, science, health services, the markets . . . everyone is dependent upon, and subject to, future circumstances. Knowing more about these natural cycles and being able to predict the future enables us to decrease the probability of allowing things to happen by chance and, thus, have more control over our lives and business.
I created and developed this simple indicator which can forecast many things, very reliably. Farmers and traders now know when the next drought will occur and when it'll be rainy and cool. Emergency services now know when accidents are most likely to occur. Power companies know when to expect geomagnetic storms. Business owners can forecast sales strength. Stock market investors know when to buy and sell. Now we all know when we'll have the best weather to schedule outdoor activities and travel. The Berg Timer can forecast most anything you want to know that's related to weather, which is just about everything.
BT's applications are so broad that any institution, business, or individual can benefit by applying it to their activities.
Since BT is based on planetary positions, and future planetary positions can be projected with precise accuracy, BT can make its forecasts for all indices infinitely into the future with no loss in reliability.
Welcome. Join me as I turn over some more rocks.
What Makes the Berg Timer Values?
There are three ways a Berg Timer point can be made. First is when two planets are longitudinally equidistant from a third planet, making one BT point. Second is a pretty rare event when two pairs of planets each share the same distance apart. This is shown below when Mercury/Venus and Mars/Earth were both 43 degrees apart, another BT point. Third is when two planets are in the same degree of longitude, thus being the same distance away from all the other 7 planets, automatically making 7 BT points.
Interior Planets' Positions, June 23-25,
The Three Ways a Berg Timer Point Can Be Made
On June 23 Mercury was exactly at the midpoint of two other planets. Mercury was 47 degrees from both Venus and Earth. One BT point.
On June 25 Mercury was 43 degrees from Venus and Earth was also 43 degrees from Mars. Two separate pairs of planets an equal distance away. One point.
Not shown is the third way a BT point can be made. If two planets are in the same degree, they are each then automatically the same distance away from the seven other planets, making 7 BT points.
Then the points are simply added together for whatever time series desired. I typically use daily, monthly, and yearly BT in the correlation studies.
The history and development of the Berg Timer can be read in the site page http://www.justgoodtiming.com/id48.htm. Essentially it began with an interest and understanding of astrology way back in my 20's. My understanding of astrology was so thorough that I could often guess someone's sign just by observation. So I knew that there must be something to it and that a larger application for it in the world must exist. That started me along the long road of discovery.
There's really nothing like the feeling of discovering something no one has ever known before, especially since it might be a new law of physics. One of the most exciting discoveries I've made is when I compared the Berg Timer to moonquakes shown on Natural Disasters page. To then know that the physics represented by BT is truly universal sent shivers up my spine, and does again now as I'm writing this.
How the planets' positions can affect solar activity is not known. I'm not a physicist but I've done a lot of reading over the last 40 years. My best guess is that its an effect of the planets' positions on the interplanetary magnetic field. We will need space buoys throughout the solar system in order to measure its macro changes. That day will come.
In my early days in the 70's, with no computers, I drew out all the planetary cycle lines by hand. It took me about two days to do one year. Now with the computer I can do it in about seven seconds. So I now have a library of BT from the years 300 to 2300.
What Is a Berg Timer Profile? --- The BT Sequence of the Great Sun/Earth Meteorological Cycle
Sometimes you can look at a chart comparison between the Berg Timer and solar flares, for instance, and quickly see how they most often occur just before and after strong BT. Some see it, some don't. So in order to provide an objective answer to that question I developed the Berg Timer Profile which shows exactly how something correlates with BT over a certain length of time.
A BT profile is a daily line graph showing how often an indice, like flares, occurred from 12 days before to 12 days after when the Berg Timer was >= 7 strength or higher. And I am now starting monthly, and eventually yearly, profiles to show longer term correlations.
To make the profile I developed a spreadsheet in which I input the daily values of the indice I want to correlate with BT. Then it shows a charted profile of what the indice was doing on each of 12 days before and after BT >=7 strength. Right now I correlate 12 years of data from 2006 to 2017 to get the 12-year profile of an indice's past behavior and, thus, expected future behavior.
There were 256 instances of BT being >=7 during those 12 years. So the the daily behavior of an indice over those twelve years in 256 instances times 25 days = 6,400 behavior data points of the indice. A 2006-2016 profile of the indice is made, and also a 2017 profile. If the year 2017 profile compares accurately with the 2006-16 profile, then you know that BT can accurately forecast that indice. You then know that the indice's historical behavior with respect to the Berg Timer can reliably forecast the future of that indice using BT.
Using profiles makes the analysis of an indice objective and provides empirical proof, or disproof, for a BT correlation. One can look at a charted comparison of BT and hurricanes for instance and see that hurricanes are most likely to develop just after a BT "7" day. Its profile provides an objective confirmation of that. Also, since BT "7 or more" days sometimes occur within 12 days of each other, the profile automatically integrates multiple BT days' effect which the eye cannot do.
Profiles don't always show a definite correlation. Some just wiggle up and down sideways and are not consistent over the years. In these cases the profile can't be of any practical value. Usually there's a third factor which is overriding the data. That necessitates an adjustment. For instance, when comparing BT to car accidents you have to remove the tendency for higher accidents to occur on holidays and weekends before the data can be compared.
The BT Sequence charts below, due to similarities impossible by chance and which are consistent with scientific research, prove that the Berg Timer represents a major cause of changes in solar activity and Earth atmosphere, land, and oceans. Specifically the Great Cycle includes but is not limited to Solar Activity, Cosmic Rays, Solar Irradiance, Atmospheric Angular Momentum, Precipitation, Temperature, Sea Ice, and Tornadoes.
The sequence of BT's effect from Sun to the Earth's surface involves a number of indices which have been well measured by today's satellite and surface instruments. It involves several areas of professional understanding of which I have made a good effort to learn. What we all want to do is to understand the mechanics of the transmission of solar activity through the Earth's atmosphere to the land and oceans. Solar activity's effect on Earth rotation via atmospheric, oceanic, and hydrological angular momentum and polar motion is also involved.
This evidence proves that the Berg Timer is able to forecast all of these Sun to Earth indices, which essentially means that the Berg Timer is causally connected to the sequence of the Great Sun/Earth Cycle. The Berg Timer/Sun/Earth correlation is real.
The following sequence begins with the Berg Timer's correlation to the Sun. Each subsequent indicator is then presented in a logical and scientifically consistent correlation to the Berg Timer. Its goal was to discover and prove that BT is not only causally connected to the first effect, the sun, but also to all further indices involved in the Great Sun/Earth Cycle. It was a great experience. I literally had to learn about each aspect of it from scratch. Solar, Cosmic Radiation, Atmospheric, Oceans, Meteorology. It took what seems like forever but it was a great education and thrill to discover.
More research will be soon be presented on this website demonstrating BT's effect on the Moon's, Mars', and Mercury's atmospheric and geological indices. The Berg Timer's effect on the sun and revolving bodies is new astro, solar, planetary, and atmospheric physics. Its discovery will revolutionize current scientific thinking and create an exciting search for the reason why BT works.
I welcome feedback as to some of the conclusions I've made but I've tried to follow today's thinking of the specialists and have taken great pains to use the most complete data in each field of study. So it goes, from the Berg Timer to solar physics, to radiation, to magnetic fields, to Earth rotation rate, to atmospheric science, to meteorology, to oceanography, to geophysics, to geology, to the biosphere, to all of us, to the other planets, everything. It's been a lot of hard work. The 1932 Harper's Monthly published a quote from Albert Einstein to the effect saying that research boils down to 1% inspiration and 99% perspiration. So true.
~ The BT Sequence Explains and Proves the Causal Connections Involved in
the Great Sun/Earth Meteorological Cycle ~
~ SUNSPOTS ~
What a wonderfully symmetrical profile!
Nature's a beautiful thing. The profile of
the first cause appropriately flying like an eagle.
The Sun-Earth effect begins here.
The Berg Timer's correlation to solar activity has unleashed a torrent of evidence for this
new law of physics.
Sunspots are areas on the sun which usually have opposite magnetic polarity and cooler temperature. There are fewest sunspots occurring exactly at day '0', when BT is at its strongest, what I call,
'at the beak'.
~ SOLAR FLARES ~
Solar flares often coincide with sunspots. Flares bottom with sunspots at day "0" when BT >= 7.
The physics of the planetary positions' effect is not known. I believe it to be an effect of the planetary positions, as represented by the Berg Timer, on the solar system's interplanetary magnetic field.
What a big surge of activity after '0' day!
~ SOLAR FLUX ~
Solar flux is radio emission from the sun. It originates high in the sun's chromosphere.
It bottoms exactly at the eagle's beak when solar activity is lowest.
"The solar radio flux at 10.7 cm is an excellent indicator of solar activity. It is one of the longest running records of solar activity . . . it correlates well with the sunspot number as well as a number of UltraViolet (UV), ozone, and solar irradiance emissions that impact the (Earth) ionosphere and stratosphere." From link below.
~ SOLAR IRRADIANCE satellite ~
Solar irradiance is one of the most fundamental drivers of Earth weather and long-term climate.
Satellites provide the most accurate solar irradiance data.
This data is from the VIRGO/SOHO mission and the Physical-Meteorological Observatory Davos/World Radiation Center.
Again, exactly 'at the beak'.
~ SOLAR IRRADIANCE ground ~
This chart shows total sunshine received at ground level. At day '0' to day '2' sky is least clear. Clouds are blocking the sun's radiation. So not only is there less sunshine then (4 above) but there is also more cloud cover generated by the ionized atmosphere.
More on Irradiance at the links below.
Long-Term Cosmic Rays and Cloud Cover
The chart above is evidence supporting correlation between cosmic rays and clouding.
~ COSMIC RAYS ~
Electrons and Protons
Low solar activity weakens Earth's magnetic field. The weak field lets in cosmic ray particles, mostly protons and electrons.
When the protons and electrons enter the atmosphere they slam into other particles. They lose an electron and become charged ionized particles.
Water vapor attaches itself to the ionized particles, a process called nucleation which eventually forms clouds.
So, when BT is strong, solar activity becomes low, Earth's magnetic field becomes weak allowing the particles in.
Which ion is most responsible for nucleation, protons or electrons?
The responsible ion's count must be high at day '0' when all this is happening.
To the left is charted proton and electron flux with respect to high Berg Timer at day '0'.
Protons bottom at day '1' right after day '0'.
Electrons show a very high strength around day '0'. So it's highly likely that electrons are the nucleating agent leading to cloud formation.
So, strong BT = low solar activity = high electrons = high cloud production.
electron and proton data:
then click on the DPD files.
The AAM indice is defined as the ratio of East-West vs. North-South winds on Earth.
The atmosphere accounts for 80-90% of the total angular momentum of Earth. The oceans and solid body of Earth account for the other 10-20%.
~ ATMOSPHERIC ANGULAR MOMENTUM ~
This is a very strong profile, peaking at 'the Eagle's beak'.
Planetary positions as represented by the Berg Timer are causing the atmosphere and wind changes defined by AAM. This is why BT is so accurate at forecasting El Nino
The article below describes what scientists call the 30-60 day "flip-flop oscillation" of our equator to pole atmospheric circulation as "not well understood" and that "the mechanism is unknown".
The Berg Timer is the "the unknown".
~ PRECIPITATION, COASTAL CITIES ~
Ocean and coasts' weather have higher precipitation when BT is strong.
So, this 'peaks at the beak'.
The profiles are quite striking in their proportional structure and all world locations' similarity.
These things aren't occurring by chance.
Strong Berg Timer = low solar activity = high cosmic ray particles entering Earth's atmosphere = high cloud formation = high ocean precipitation.
~ OCEAN PRECIPITATION ~
Ocean precipitation peaks at "0" with the Eagle's wings widespread.
Ocean and land precipitation are opposite. See No.10 next.
~ DAILY PRECIPITATION of INLAND CITIES ~
The low of 214 U.S. cities' precipitation occurs exactly at day '0' when BT is strongest.
Land precipitation occurs inversely to ocean precipitation shown in No.'s 8 and 9 above.
This is confirmed by the Land/Ocean chart (left) showing long-term Land and Ocean precipitation moving oppositely. Data source for the chart is NOAA's Global Precipitation Climatology Project.
Being able to forecast rain is one of the first and most valuable discoveries my work has produced. I remember in the early 1980's, in my 30's in the Midwest, watching the rain come and go with the Berg Timer. It was then that I knew it worked with the weather.
The Great Plains are certainly 'great' for weather watching. It gets most all the fronts that move out of the Rockies and up from the Gulf.
The U.S. Precipitation profile data source, Frontier weather, prides itself on the accuracy and completeness of its data.
~ GLOBAL SEA ICE EXTENT ~
These are the first Monthly BT Profiles ever produced! It's exciting to move up to longer-term BT profiles, giving us a new perspective on world weather.
The Berg Timer is able to forecast the long term up's and down's of sea ice because it's so good at forecasting longer-term weather.
This 28 year study found that both hemispheres' sea ice peaks within a month of strong monthly BT, with trends lasting up to a year. This is consistent with the 1700 year study on the webpage above which found that strong BT correlates with temperature lows.
Long term sea ice peaks and temperatures are low when BT is strong. We'll go on to create monthly profiles for other Sequence indices to better understand BT's effect on weather.
Nice confirmation from the past.
~ TORNADOES ~
Tornadoes are most often the result of strong low pressure fronts that move out of the Rocky Mountains into middle America, pulling up warm air from the south which combines with the cool northern air to form strong updrafting tornadoes in the area known as 'tornado alley'.
The twister profile 'peaks at the beak'.
Left, the evolution of a single tornado on May 24, 2016 in Kansas.
Thus the BT Sequence demonstrates that the Berg Timer is able to discover and thereby explain and empirically prove the causal connections of the Great Sun/Earth Meteorological Cycle . . . that being strong BT = low solar activity, thus high cosmic ray particles penetrating Earth's atmosphere, causing cloud formation, higher tornado activity, higher precipitation, and increased ice accumulation.
Solar Flares and the Berg Timer
Being able to forecast solar activity is the cornerstone of BT's capabilities since solar activity is the 'first cause' of Earth's atmospheric circulation and weather. Above is a chart of BT (inverted) and solar flares for 2016-17. Solar activity bottoms when BT is strongest.
Solar forecasting is becoming more and more important for our space and electrical power industry. Knowing when solar activity will occur helps us prepare for powerline surges, radiation danger to astronauts and pilots, and damage to satellites. Solar sunspots and flares occur just before and after strong Berg Timer days. Some see it, some don't. That's why I think the profiles are so great because the profile makes it objectively easy to see. Flares bottom when BT is strong, like the 'Eagle' Sunspot profile.
Precipitation and other extreme weather is obviously a factor in airline delays and it's confirmed below with the chart of airline late arrivals compared to the Berg Timer. This is featured in the Forecasting Service page which provides the Airline Delay profile enabling you to plan air travel with less possibility of delays.
Also above is BT compared to the daily precipitation total of 45 geographically representative U.S. cities and percent of daily United Airlines flights that were "Late" (divided by 2 for charting purposes). Storm systems occur just before and after strong BT days. So it's not surprising to see an increase in late arrivals around high BT.
Travel delays can be avoided by using BT to plan travel. Air travel within a week of BT value "7" or higher has a high probability of delay. Ground travelers and outside event planners should consult the Forecasting Page for precise forecast for your area. Accurate weather forecasting is available by finding the profile for your area on the Forecasting Service page and comparing it to the BT Table there.
The Tornado/BT chart below for 2016 shows that tornadoes are most likely when BT is strong and peaking, like the Tornado Profile in the Sequence Charts above. That huge BT day in August was the strongest since 1988. This is when the historic flood disaster happened in Lousiana. That was much like the Great Flood of 1927 which also occurred during a very strong BT period.
See below that quakes are most likely 8 days before and 6 days after BT >=5 strength (day "0").
The Italy 6.2 and Burma 6.8 quakes on Aug 25, 2016 occurred exactly during the forecasted high day (-8) period for quakes.
Then again two more quakes, 5.5 and 6.1 hit Italy on October 27, again, 8 days before "0".
Below is the profile of Atlantic Hurricanes. This can greatly improve Caribbean planning for travel, cruises, and shipping in the Caribbean. This correlation was published here in 2008. This new profile confirms it.
The best times for travel to avoid hurricanes in the Atlantic and Carribean would be starting 7 days prior to a BT "0" day. At that time you would be able to have a good 8-10 days with a low probability for hurricanes, or at least not getting a hurricane's highest wind periods. See how this profile would have kept you away from Hurricane Matthew in 2016.
This would be a great asset for travel agencies or just something everyone refers to in planning their vacation or outside events. One can use this with the Airline Delays profile and be even more confident in your vacation timing.
HURRICANE MATTHEW, 2016
Matthew was a natural progression of strength caused by the Berg Timer. It peaked in strength just one day before the profile forecast.
It caused hundreds of deaths in Haiti and much damage throughout the Bahamas and the eastern coast of Florida. South Carolina had massive flooding. BT has proven itself to be a reliable forecasting tool.
Geomagnetism and Hemispheric Electrification
Electrical storms energize Earth's atmosphere. This electrical power is monitored by the NOAA POES satellites. Geomagnetism and Hemispheric Gigawatts can now be forecasted by using these BT profiles. It's a valuable tool for both space and ground electronic engineers and planners.
The Yearly Berg Timer
Low periods in BT are indicative of drought in the United States and lows in the world economy. High periods indicate low seismic activity, strong world stock markets, and high precipitation. See the high peaking BT of 2018, the time of a record high stock market. There should be a market decline in 2019 then a rally into a 2020-2021 peak. See updated stock market discussion here.
below written/published April 2008 ---
Note that as of this writing, BT shows that the economy will bottom during the first year of our new next president (2009). Then the economy will improve for the next year (2010), then a decline for at least the next couple years of the new president (2011, 2012). So our next president may well end his/her presidency at an economic low and be blamed for the very bad economic situation.
The government really has little control over the economy. It all depends on the weather and how people behave. One president or one congress does not have the means to control that factor. The economy should be a major sour point for the president who is in office in 2009-2012. But, the president elected in 2012 will see the economy strengthen in 2015, the third year of his/her first/second term. So it goes. If the president elected in 2012 is a first term president, he/she will be re-elected due to a strong economy at the time of re-election in 2016.
The following written/published July 2012 ---
The Berg Timer's Long-Term Forecast correctly forecasted 2012's low precipitation, high temperatures, low interest rates, La Nina, weak economy, and weak stock market.
Hang on, this trend is not substantially broken until 2015. The BT forecast has been published on the home page since 2001.
Notice, in the above chart, the strong up BT cycle during the Clinton administration of 1993 through 2000, thus President Clinton's economic success due to the natural cycles. Notice in the chart below the very strong BT during Ronald Reagan's 1981-1988, thus helping him to succeed. Then note the low BT as G.W. Bush was finishing his second term in 2008-9. Thus the economic disaster inherited by President Obama, and for which he is semi-succeeding in blaming G.W. Bush. Then note the bottoming of BT in 2011-12, thus the difficulty President Obama is having with the current economy.
The next president will enjoy the favor of presiding over the economic recovery of 2015.
If President Obama wins in November, he will take credit for the 2015 recovery. If Governor Romney wins, the economic recovery of 2015 will result in a second term for President Romney.
If there were anything the current president could have done to stimulate the economy, don't you think he would have done it by now? He tried with the stimulus but failed.
So, to put it all in perspective, except for making some changes in domestic and foreign policies, it's an illusion to think that there is anything a president, dictator, congress, parliament, union, or federal reserve can do to alter the world economic and climatic changes accurately forecasted by the Berg Timer cycle.
Below written/published May 2018 ---
See below the similarity between the Berg Timer during the Dustbowl 1930's and the 2020's. Thus the forecast for another drought during the 2020's.
This drought forecast was first published July 2012.
On the current political side, BT hits highs in 2016 and 2018, and so does the economy strengthen and presidential (Trump) approval grow. All because of a strong Berg Timer. There's a dip down of BT in 2019, after the 2018 mid-term elections, so politics should not be affected. Then BT is strong into 2020 and 2021 so it should be a continued strong, but peaking, economy and a second term for President Trump.
After 2021 it all falls down until 2028. So during the sliding BT we will have warming temperatures, low precipitation, a weak economy, La Nina (cooling of East Pacific waters), and strong quakes likely. The long ago forecasted 2020's drought is on our doorstep. Farming, water, and hydroelectric power concerns, prepare for the worst. Hope for the best.
See pages devoted to each subject at the top of this page for more detailed information and forecasts.
Data Sources ---